The Minnesota Twins host the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday, July 4, 2025. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FanDuel Sports Sun and Twins TV.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rays vs Twins prediction for the Friday series opener below.
My Rays vs Twins Prediction
- Rays vs Twins pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375)
My Rays vs Twins best bet is Caminero to hit a homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Twins Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 10 -110o / -110u | -105 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 10 -110o / -110u | -115 |
Rays vs Twins Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Zack Littell (TBR) | Stat | RHP Chris Paddack (MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | W-L | 3-7 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 3.61/4.56 | ERA /xERA | 4.70/4.69 |
| 5.11/4.15 | FIP / xFIP | 4.47/4.73 |
| 1.07 | WHIP | 1.23 |
| 13.9% | K-BB% | 10.3% |
| 41.7% | GB% | 36.6% |
| 85 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 104 | Location+ | 113 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction, Betting Preview
Rays star Junior Caminero is in a great spot, and these odds for him to hit a home run are a bit too high.
The weather in Minnesota should be great for hitting, with winds blowing strongly toward left field and temperatures in the low 90s.
Twins starter Chris Paddack is a favorable matchup for right-handed power, having allowed 1.37 HR/9 over his career. While he's been better this season, he's due for some negative regression.
I have the true odds here about 50 points lower, making this a great bet.
Pick: Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375; bet365)
