The Miami Marlins host the Tampa Bay Rays on June 6, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on RAYS.
The Rays are favored by -148 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +126 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rays vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs Marlins Prediction
- Rays vs Marlins Pick: Marlins ML (+110 or Better)
My Rays vs Marlins best bet is on Miami. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Marlins Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +112 | 8 -110o / -110u | -148 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -134 | 8 -110o / -110u | +126 |
- Rays vs Marlins moneyline: Rays -148, Marlins +126
- Rays vs Marlins over/under: 8 (-110o / -110u)
- Rays vs Marlins spread: Rays -1.5 (+112), Marlins +1.5 (-134)
Rays vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
| Shane McClanahan (LHP, TBR) | Stat | Lake Bachar (RHP, MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | W-L | 0-0 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 2.45 / 3.60 | ERA / xERA | 3.45 / 3.14 |
| 2.75 / 3.76 | FIP / xFIP | 4.19 / 3.91 |
| 15.3% | K-BB% | 19.0% |
| 43.8% | GB% | 35.5% |
| .238 | BABIP | .192 |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 96 | Location+ | 95 |
Rays vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
The Marlins have committed to a bullpen game on Saturday. What does that mean? We never exactly know.
As a group, said bullpen has the 12th-best estimators in the majors over the last month (3.90 FIP/3.93 xFIP/3.59 SIERA), while Sean projects them as his fourth-best bullpen with a 3.51 weighted FIP.
That’s at least comparable to Shane McClanahan, who has returned from two full seasons lost to Tommy John surgery to pitch…adequately?
With a career low, but still above average 15.3% K-BB, a 39.6% HardHit, but 9.4% Barrels/BBE, and non-FIP estimators ranging from a 3.38 dERA to a 4.04 Bot ERA, there’s no other way to put it (we omit the FIP with just two of 14 barrels going for home runs).
Assuming the standard Miami lineup against LHP, they have an 85 wRC+ against pitchers from that side since last year and just an 87 wRC+ over the last 30 days overall. I certainly award that edge to the Rays.
However, the Marlins also project six FRV and two BRR gaps in their favor, along with a better bullpen than a Tampa Bay unit with the fifth-worst estimators over the last 30 days, and whom Sean ranks a bit better, but still just 15th, 11 spots behind his Miami ranking.
Rays vs Marlins Pick, Betting Analysis
With Ryan Gusto and Tyler Phillips eating 6 2/3 innings on Friday, unless the Marlins are planning on chucking only their low-leverage relievers on Saturday, the Rays appear to be over-priced.
The F5 line (currently +136 best price) is fine too and larger than the full game offering, but won’t afford you the advantageous matchup against the Tampa Bay pen.
Pick: Marlins ML (+110 or Better)
