The New York Yankees (79-56) host the St. Louis Cardinals (68-68) on Saturday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET on MLB Network. The Yankees won the series opener of this interleague matchup on Friday as Austin Wells powered New York with two home runs.
Cardinals-Yankees odds for Saturday have the Yankees as -165 moneyline favorites and the Cardinals as +140 underdogs; the over/under is set at 9.5 (-105o / -115u). Kyle Gibson takes the mound for St. Louis, while New York hands the ball to Will Warren.
Find my Cardinals vs Yankees prediction and pick for Saturday, plus the latest MLB odds for August 31.
Cardinals vs Yankees Predictions
- Cardinals vs Yankees best bet: Over 9 (-122)
My Cardinals-Yankees pick is on over 9, where I see value at a line of -122 at the time of writing. The best line is available at FanDuel, as well as other sportsbooks — make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cardinals vs Yankees Odds
| St. Louis Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | +140 |
| New York Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | -165 |
- Cardinals-Yankees Moneyline: Cardinals +140 | Yankees -165
- Cardinals-Yankees Over/Under: 9.5 (-105o /-115u)
- Cardinals-Yankees Run Line (Spread): Cardinals +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
Probable Starters for Cardinals at Yankees
| RHP Kyle Gibson (STL) | Stat | RHP Will Warren (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | W-L | 0-2 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 4.54 / 5.04 | ERA / xERA | 9.68 / 4.32 |
| 4.38 / 4.10 | FIP / xFIP | 3.96 / 3.99 |
| 1.38 | WHIP | 1.81 |
| 12% | K-BB% | 20% |
| 45.5% | GB% | 33.3% |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 98 | Location+ | 100 |
St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees Preview & Prediction
Cardinals Betting Preview: Worrisome Trends for Kyle Gibson
Gibson has struggled in his 12th season. Through 25 starts, the right-hander possesses a 4.54 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.
His underlying metrics are even worse. Gibson sports a 5.04 xERA and ranks in the 39th percentile or lower in xBA, strikeout rate, walk rate, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
These woes are likely to continue against New York, a team he is 2-7 against through 12 career meetings with a fade-worthy 5.94 ERA. The good news for Gibson is that he is likely to receive some support from the bats.
Entering this matchup, St. Louis ranks in the top half of the league in hits per game, BA and OBP.
Yankees Betting Preview: Run Support Makes Up for Poor Pitching
The Cardinals' success at the dish is likely to continue against Warren, who has had a terrible start to his career thus far. Through the first four outings of his debut campaign, the right-hander is 0-2 with a troubling 9.68 ERA and 1.81 WHIP.
Following Warren is a bullpen that is unlikely to bail him out. This season, the Yankees' relief staff ranks in the bottom half of the league in both FIP and xFIP.
With that said, run support is unlikely to be an issue for this pitching staff. New York ranks in the top 10 in runs scored per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS and home runs.
Through 90 combined career plate appearances against Gibson, this current Yankees lineup boasts a .241 xBA, .428 xSLG and .322 xwOBA.
Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction: Over/Under Betting Analysis
There are multiple reasons to be optimistic on the over in this contest. Both starting pitchers rank in the bottom half of the league in xERA, xBA, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
Meanwhile, both lineups contribute in different ways. The Cardinals are a contact-heavy team, ranking in the top half of the league in hits per game, BA and OBP.
On the other hand, the Yankees thrive on their power and rank in the top two in runs scored per game, SLG, OPS and home runs.
Pick: Over 9 (-122 | Play to -130) |
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Moneyline
I'm going to pass on the moneyline. I have no interest in laying -166 on New York, and I have no interest in backing St. Louis.
Run Line (Spread)
I'm also going to pass on the run line. I like the Yankees at -1.5, but I would like to see a larger payout than the current +114 tag.
Over/Under
I'm betting Over 9 in this game.
Cardinals vs Yankees Betting Trends
- 92% of the bets and 96% of the money are on the Yankees on the moneyline.
- 66% of the bets and 67% of the money are on the over.
- 80% of the bets and 97% of the money are on the Yankees to cover the run line.
Cardinals Trends
- Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Cardinals are 28-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cardinals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cardinals' 68 last games at home
Yankees Trends
- Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Yankees are 37-32 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Yankees' 65 last games at home
Cardinals vs Yankees Game Info: How to Watch Live, Start Time, More
| Location: | Yankee Stadium |
| Date: | Saturday, August 31, 2024 |
| Time: | 1:05 p.m. ET |
| TV Channel/Live Streaming: | MLB Network (out-of-market) | YES | Bally Sports Midwest |
Cardinals-Yankees starts at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, live from Yankee Stadium. The game can be seen on MLB Network for out-of-market viewers, and YES and Bally Sports Midwest.
