The New York Mets host the Pittsburgh Pirates on May 14, 2025. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT and MLB.TV.
The Mets enter as -270 favorites on the moneyline with the over/under sitting at 8.
Find my Pirates vs Mets prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Pirates vs Mets Prediction, Picks
- Over 8
- Juan Soto 1+ Hits
Parlay Odds: +180 (BetMGM)
Pirates vs Mets Odds, Spread, Lines
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 8 -108o / -112u | +220 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -125 | 8 -108o / -112u | -270 |
Pirates vs Mets Projected Pitchers
| LHP Bailey Falter (PIT) | Stat | RHP Clay Holmes (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 5-1 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 4.36/3.58 | ERA /xERA | 2.74/3.06 |
| 4.44/4.55 | FIP / xFIP | 2.61/3.41 |
| 1.13 | WHIP | 1.24 |
| 10.4% | K-BB% | 15.7% |
| 37.3% | GB% | 37.3% |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 99 | Location+ | 102 |
Pirates vs Mets Pick, Best Bets
Over/Under Pick: Over 8
The first two games have gone under by a mile in this three-game series. The bats aren't clicking, making it a pitchers' duel.
Not today, however.
The Mets' bats are going to get hot. Bailey Falter takes the mound for the Pirates, and the Mets will get after him.
I wouldn't be surprised if the Mets put up six-plus runs on Wednesday.
Mets Player Prop: Juan Soto 1+ Hits
Juan Soto has been doing his job versus the Pirates this series.
Soto matches up very well versus Falter and has seen him nine times in his career. He's hitting .333 versus Falter, and this success will continue on Wednesday.
Soto will get a hit and an RBI to help contribute to this parlay.
Pirates vs Mets Same-Game Parlay
- Over 8
- Juan Soto 1+ Hits
Parlay odds: +180 (BetMGM)
Pirates vs Mets Betting Trends to Watch
