Phillies vs. Cardinals MLB Postseason Wild Card Round Odds, Picks, Predictions: Where Smart Money is Betting

Phillies vs. Cardinals MLB Postseason Wild Card Round Odds, Picks, Predictions: Where Smart Money is Betting article feature image
Credit:

Bryce Harper #3 of the Philadelphia Phillies reacts after hitting a single against the Miami Marlins (Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Phillies Odds-122
Cardinals Odds+104
Over/Under6.5
DateSaturday, Oct. 8
Time8:37 p.m. ET
ChannelESPN2

*Odds via FanDuel as of Saturday morning

The Action Network's proprietary tracking data has indicated a trove of sharp bettors on this Wild Card Round series between the Phillies and Cardinals.

This is the first game this playoffs that has seen a road favorite and home underdog.

The sharps are targeting the total and the moneyline for this Game 2.

These playoff totals have been historically low on account of great pitching, but the sharps are fading prevailing notions for this night cap.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Sharp Pick

The sharps are riding with the under and the Philliesmoneyline tonight.

The smart money has been enough to drive Philadelphia's ML down from its opening price of -107 to a market consensus of -120.

The market-best price for the Phillies' ML is -118 at BetRivers.

The best price for the under is also at BetRivers at u6.5 (+102).

Make sure to price shop for this contest. While -118 is a great price on the Phillies, the market-worst price at -125 with PointsBet is bad in comparison.

Betting with PB tonight would cut down on the value by about 1.4%, a substantial degree over the long run.

Tailing the wise guys and fading retail bettors is how you develop a profit in the long run.

In the short term, of course, variance is a massive constraint. You'll lose a few bets along the way.

The best method to ensure a positive ROI is to bet — with the same unit sizing — each time there's sharp action on a particular pick.

Pick: Phillies -118 or better | Under 6.5 runs (+102) or better

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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