The Miami Marlins host the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday, June 18, 2025. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FanDuel Sports Philadelphia and NBC Sports Philadelphia.
This NL East series is tied at a game apiece entering Wednesday, when Ranger Suarez takes on Adam Mazur, who is set to make his Marlins debut.
Continue below for my Phillies vs Marlins prediction for Wednesday.
My Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
Phillies vs Marlins picks: Adam Mazur Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150)
My Phillies vs Marlins best bet is Adam Mazur to log under 4.5 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Marlins Odds, Spread
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -120 | 8 -115o / -105u | -170 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -100 | 8 -115o / -105u | +140 |
Phillies vs Marlins Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Ranger Suarez (PHI) | Stat | RHP Adam Mazur (MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | W-L | Season debut |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | — |
| 2.32 / 2.43 | ERA /xERA | — |
| 2.61 / 3.42 | FIP / xFIP | — |
| 1.07 | WHIP | — |
| 15.8% | K-BB% | — |
| 54.5% | GB% | — |
| 96 | Stuff+ | — |
| 113 | Location+ | — |
My Phillies vs Marlins Betting Preview, Prediction
Adam Mazur is back in our lives!
He was one of my favorite fades last season when he was a member of the San Diego Padres. He latched on with the Marlins and will draw a start tonight.
Mazur had an ugly 22:21 K:BB across eight appearances in 2024. He had a 13.9% K% supported by a 7% SwStr% and a 23.2% CSW%.
Mazur posted a 7.49 ERA in 33 2/3 innings; his xFIP and SIERA were both over 6.00.
Philadelphia has the seventhth-lowest K% vs. RHP over the past 30 days. The Phillies are top 10 in OPS, wOBA and wRC+ in that span.
Tonight’s projected lineup for the Phillies has combined for a 20.1% K% against right-handed pitching this season. Only six teams have a sub-20% strikeout rate vs. RHP for the year.
Pick: Adam Mazur Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150, DraftKings)
