Padres vs. Phillies Game 4 Odds
| Padres Odds | -110 |
| Phillies Odds | -110 |
| Over/Under | 8 (-110/-110) |
| Time | 7:45 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
| Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
The Philadelphia Phillies pulled off a shocker in taking Game 3 of the NLCS from the San Diego Padres. A shaky first inning from Joe Musgrove set the tone for the rest of his night as the Phillies were able to do just enough to snag the upset victory.
The Phillies now look to take a commanding 3-1 series lead and inch closer to a World Series berth on Saturday night. Meanwhile, the Padres will look to even up a series that has been marred by misfortune.
Mike Clevinger will get the start for the Padres against Bailey Falter for the Phillies. Falter will be making his first appearance of the postseason while Clevinger will try to redeem himself after a tough NLDS.
San Diego Padres: Can Clevinger Get Back on Track?
The San Diego Padres are hoping Clevinger can bounce back from a rough NLDS start that saw him get tagged for four earned runs over 2 2/3 innings. Clevinger did throw five shutout innings in Philadelphia earlier this season, though that was all the way back in May.
Since the All-Star break, Clevinger's production has fallen off a cliff and he also brings a road ERA, FIP and xFIP of over 5.00 into tomorrow's Game 4 start.
The Padres' offense has consistently been one of the best road units against left-handed pitcher, but it is concerning that they struggled to get anything going against Ranger Suarez in Game 3.
Additionally, the Padres bullpen hasn't given up a run this series. If Clevinger fails to work deep into the game, that scoreless streak could be put at risk if the bullpen has to cover a majority of the game.
Philadelphia Phillies: Falter Making Postseason Debut
The Phillies offense has been the second-best offense at home against right handers in the second half. They also have demonstrated a knack for timely hits in this series. Bryce Harper has been hitting out of his mind and although the Phillies aren't piling on the hits, they're making the hits count when they get them.
Falter will make his postseason debut, but he'll also be facing a team that hasn't seen him before. That could be a huge advantage for a pitcher who not only posted a 3.00 ERA from August to the end of the season, but also has some deception to his delivery.
The Phillies pitching staff imploded in Game 2, but they have been fairly reliable in the postseason overall. They are hard to trust, but they've gotten it done for the most part.
Padres-Phillies Pick
The Phillies are starting to look like the team that is catching all the breaks and they may be catching another in getting to face Clevinger in a pivotal Game 4. Philadelphia has gotten to Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove, both of whom are considerably better pitchers. The Phillies seem to be getting hot at the right time.
This game opened as a coin flip at -110 a piece, but some books saw the lines move in favor of the Phillies. Although this game is truly a coin flip, Falter may be the deciding factor if he can get through the Padres order a couple of times.
It's a tough call, but the Phillies moneyline is the play here and should be played to -120.
Pick: Phillies Moneyline -110
