The Athletics host the San Diego Padres on April 8, 2025. First pitch from Sutter Health Park is scheduled for 10:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Athletics will continue looking for their first home win as they start Jeffrey Springs against the volatile Dylan Cease.
Find my MLB betting preview and Padres vs Athletics prediction, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more, below.
My Padres vs Athletics Prediction
- Padres vs Athletics picks: Over 8.5 (-105) | Play to Over 9 (-110)
My Padres vs Athletics best bet is Over 8.5 (-105). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Athletics Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +124 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -135 |
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -148 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | +114 |
Padres vs Athletics Projected Starting Pitchers
| Dylan Cease | Stat | Jeffrey Springs |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 3.38/2.76 | ERA /xERA | 4.00/4.57 |
| 2.51/3.09 | FIP / xFIP | 3.51/3.72 |
| 1.03 | WHIP | 1.44 |
| 25.6% | K-BB% | 17.5% |
| 38.5% | GB% | 26.1% |
| 111 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 113 | Location+ | 95 |
Kenny Ducey’s Padres vs Athletics Preview
San Diego Padres Betting Preview: Can Cease Succeed on Road?
It's been so far, so good for Cease — but as always, there's trouble constantly brewing beneath the surface. The right-hander's strikeout-first approach will always leave him susceptible to walking batters and giving up home runs, and in a stadium like Sutter Health Park, fly balls will soar.
Cease has given up just one homer in two starts, but he's had the benefit of pitching at home in San Diego, which is incredibly friendly to fly-ball arms. He's already allowed four barrels for a 15.4% barrel rate, but his 32.6% strikeout rate and below-average walk rate have helped him mitigate his inherent risk.
Offensively, the Padres continue to do what they did so well last season: make contact. Their 16.8% strikeout rate is the lowest in the league, but unlike many teams with similar profiles, they've married that with a 9.1% walk rate. They continue to search for a little more power, but they've achieved more than enough consistency with a 122 wRC+, which is good for sixth in the bigs.
Athletics Betting Preview: Springs Faces Tough Matchup
Springs is a case study of what can happen in this band box of a park. He breezed through his first start in Seattle before he was torched at home by the Chicago Cubs, allowing four earned runs on five hits and four walks with a home run and three punchouts.
The left-hander has always been a strikeout-forward pitcher, much like Cease, pitching to a ton of fly balls. He's really never had issues walking batters, but that turned around in the wrong direction against Chicago. This should be a tough matchup given San Diego's excellent plate discipline and the park, though if there's any consolation, the Padres rank better against righties this season.
The Athletics have had a pretty solid start at the plate, ranking 11th in wRC+, though they've got reverse splits to the Padres and have hit lefties much harder.
Padres vs Athletics Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Athletics can slug the ball, posting a .174 Isolated Power, and have certainly looked potent at home with plenty of power in Sacramento. Their strikeout rate is a surprisingly low 19.7% despite having one of the worst marks in the league last season, and their 8.4% walk rate further shows their improvements in plate discipline.
I think the ball is going to fly out on Tuesday night with two pitchers who are giving up fly balls when they're not striking out opponents. Neither team has had many issues putting the ball in play, and both have walked at a decent enough clip, which should mean baserunners and run production.
The over cashed in the first game of this series, and could have easily seen plenty more runs after a fast start. I'll stick with the trends and believe in both offenses inside a park where oddsmakers haven't quite figured out how to set the total.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-105)
Moneyline
We're tracking some sharp action on the Athletics here. Given their superiority in the power department, I'd have to say I would go with the home team if I were to take a side.
Run Line (Spread)
The Athletics are just 1-2 to the run line as home underdogs, but 6-4 in all games this season.
Over/Under
The over is a perfect 4-0 in Sacramento this season, but the sharp money we've tracked is hitting the under.
