Orioles vs Rays Odds
| Baltimore Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-135 | 8 -105o /-115u | -1.5 +125 |
| Tampa Bay Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
+115 | 8 -105o /-115u | +1.5 -155 |
Let's dive into the Orioles vs Rays odds and make a prediction in our Saturday MLB betting preview for June 8.
Orioles vs Rays odds for Saturday have the Orioles as -135 moneyline favorites with an over/under of 8 (-105o/ -115u) for the matchup at Tropicana Field. For my Orioles vs Rays prediction, I will be looking at a different market as I see value on Baltimore's run line.
A pair of right-handers are set to square off in Kyle Bradish for the Orioles and Taj Bradley for the Rays.
See how I think Orioles vs Rays on Saturday will play out in my MLB betting preview.
Baltimore Orioles
Bradish has been terrific thus far, posting a 1-0 record with a 3.18 ERA through six starts. Baltimore won five of those six games, with three of those five wins coming by at least two-runs.
His underlying metrics are even stronger. The right-hander ranks in the 91st percentile or higher in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. Following Bradish is one of the league's best bullpens.
The Orioles' relief pitching ranks seventh in ERA and 10th in FIP.
Baltimore's pitching staff is likely to receive plenty of run support as the Orioles rank in the top 10 of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, SLG, OPS and home runs. That success is likely to continue against Bradley, a pitcher whom this current Orioles' lineup boasts a dominant .333 BA, .771 SLG and .483 wOBA against through 52 combined career plate appearances.
Tampa Bay Rays
Speaking of Bradley, he might be one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball (with all due respect). Through five starts, he is 1-3 with a fade-worthy 5.81 ERA.
However, it is his analytics that concern me the most. Bradley ranks in the sixth percentile or lower in xERA, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
He just got shelled by Baltimore in his most recent start, surrendering nine runs on nine hits in under four innings en route to a 9-5 loss. Bradish was on the rubber for the Orioles in that outing as well.
Following Bradley is a bullpen that can't be trusted. The Rays' relief staff ranks in the bottom 10 of the league in ERA, FIP and xFIP. I also don't trust Tampa's lineup, given that it ranks in the bottom half of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS and home runs.
Orioles vs. Rays
Betting Pick & Prediction
These pitchers just squared off against each last week, with Baltimore claiming a 9-5 victory. I expect another decisive win for the betting favorite Saturday.
The Orioles are simply the better team across the board and Bradish paces Bradley both statistically and analytically.
At the same time, Baltimore clearly boasts both the better lineup and bullpen. That just leaves home field, which would be the one theoretical advantage for Tampa.
However, the Orioles' road win percentage is higher than the Rays' home win percentage.
Pick: Orioles -1.5 (+112 at FanDuel | Play to +105)
