The Washington Nationals host the New York Yankees on July 12, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NATS.
The Yankees are -112 on the moneyline. The Nationals are -104 on the moneyline. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Nationals Prediction
- Yankees vs Nationals Pick: Luis Garcia Over 1.5 HRR
Yankees vs Nationals Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 9 -105o / -115u | -112 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -176 | 9 -105o / -115u | -104 |
Yankees vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview
The Nationals and Yankees will square off on Sunday afternoon at Nationals Park in D.C. to conclude a three-game interleague clash. Will Warren will start for New York, while Cade Cavalli will start for Washington (making just his second start back from suspension).
Cavalli has been underrated this season (2.0 fWAR, 3.88 ERA, 3.62 xFIP). The Boston start where he got suspended is a good example — Cavalli tossed seven innings of one-hit, shutout ball with 13 strikeouts.
Meanwhile, Warren has been slightly underwhelming (4.15 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), and I’m looking to fade him in this matchup.
Yankees vs Nationals Pick, Betting Analysis
I think Luis Garcia Jr. matches up well with New York’s righty.
Garcia is on a tear in March, batting .393 and slugging .857 with a 1.290 OPS. He hasn’t been the biggest power hitter in the past, but he’s smashed four home runs this month.
Warren is a sinkerballer (28% clip), but he hasn’t forced enough weak contact with the pitch (.346 xwOBA allowed). He’s also struggled to find the zone with his breaking stuff, specifically his sweeper.
Warren also has natural platoon splits (career .347 wOBA allowed to lefties, .315 to righties), while Garcia smashes right-handed pitching (148 wRC+ vs RHPs, 60 vs LHPs).
I think Warren is bound to leave a sinker or breaking pitch in the zone against Garcia, and that’ll spell disaster for New York.
Pick: Luis Garcia Over 1.5 HRR
