The Yankees visit the Phillies tonight for Sunday Night Baseball with a first pitch from Citizens Bank Park scheduled for 7:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBC/Peacock.
The Phillies are favored by -198 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Yankees are +166 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Phillies Prediction
- Yankees vs Phillies Pick: Phillies F5 -0.5
My Yankees vs Phillies best bet is on Philadelphia run line after first five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Phillies Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -128 | 8 -106o / -114u | +166 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +106 | 8 -106o / -114u | -198 |
- Yankees vs Phillies moneyline: Yankees +166, Phillies -198
- Yankees vs Phillies over/under: 8 (-106o / -114u)
- Yankees vs Phillies spread: Yankees +1.5 (-128), Phillies -1.5 (+106)
Yankees vs Phillies Polymarket MLB Odds
Yankees vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
| RHP Will Warren (NYY) | Stat | LHP Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | W-L | 12-4 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 4.2 |
| 4.00 / 4.49 | ERA / xERA | 2.65 / 3.29 |
| 4.11 / 3.94 | FIP / xFIP | 2.66 / 2.58 |
| 14.5 | K-BB% | 22.9 |
| 42.5 | GB% | 57.7 |
| .309 | BABIP | .338 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 118 |
| 104 | Location+ | 99 |
Yankees vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The Yankees are looking to complete the sweep on the road against the Phillies. New York's pitching has been terrific in this series, as they've won a pair of low-scoring games: 3-1 and 1-0.
Will Warren takes the mound for the Yankees. He's looking to build off a strong outing against the Nationals on July 12th, when he allowed one earned run in five innings.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies will try to avoid getting swept at home. They're now on a four-game losing streak, dropping five of their last six games. Their bats have gone completely cold in this series.
There's no better pitcher to have on the mound for the Phillies than their ace, Cristopher Sanchez. The perfect starter to get them out of this slump.
Yankees vs Phillies Pick, Betting Analysis
I'm taking Phillies F5 -0.5 over the Yankees in this one.
I like the Phillies to win this game, but I don't want to lay -200 or longer odds on them. I also don't want to take them -1.5 because of how cold their bats have been. That's why F5 -0.5 feels like the best move. I'm zeroing in on the pitching matchup here.
Will Warren pitched one inning out of the bullpen on July 22nd, which is a clear disruption in routine. That could affect his performance tonight. On top of that, he's been pretty mediocre for a while now. In his last seven starts, Warren has a 5.45 ERA (6.76 xERA) with a 16.7% strikeout rate and a 9.3% walk rate.
Cristopher Sanchez is coming off a poor outing vs. the Dodgers, where he allowed three earned runs in 5.1 innings, but he's had a terrific season, as highlighted by a 3.29 xERA. Sanchez has been especially dominant at home, where he has a 1.03 ERA on the season. The Yankees have scored a combined six runs in their last six games, so this is a spot where Sanchez can turn in a quality outing.
Given the pitching advantage, give me the Phillies to hold a lead after five innings.
Pick: Phillies F5 -0.5
