The Miami Marlins (52-55) and New York Yankees (60-49) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on YES.
Continue below for my Yankees vs Marlins prediction and MLB picks for Friday, August 1, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Yankees vs Marlins Prediction
Yankees vs Marlins pick: Yankees ML -175
My Yankees vs Marlins best bet is on New York moneyline, with the best line currently available at Fanatics. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Marlins Odds, Spread, Best Bet
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -105 | 7.5 -113o / -107u | -176 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 7.5 -113o / -107u | +144 |
Yankees vs Marlins Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (-105); Marlins +1.5 (-115)
Yankees vs Marlins Totals: 8 (O -113 / U -107)
Yankees vs Marlins Moneyline: Yankees -176; Marlins +144
Yankees vs Marlins Best Bet: Yankees ML
Yankees vs Marlins Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Carlos Rodon (NYY) | Stat | RHP Janson Junk (MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | W-L | 5-2 |
| 2.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 3.18 / 3.20 | ERA / xERA | 3.28 / 3.72 |
| 3.81 / 3.66 | FIP / xFIP | 2.20 / 3.69 |
| 1.05 | WHIP | 1.08 |
| 19.0 | K-BB% | 16.2 |
| 39.6 | GB% | 39.0 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 97 | Location+ | 116 |
Yankees vs Marlins Betting Preview, Predictions
Despite recently losing Aaron Judge to injury, the Yankees seem to be back on track after a rough spell. They have won three in a row, scoring 19 runs combined in those games against the Tampa Bay Rays' good pitching staff.
So, the Yankees should not fret over facing Janson Junk in this opener versus the Marlins.
Giancarlo Stanton, Anthony Volpe and Cody Bellinger all have an OPS over .830 during the past seven days.
Meanwhile, Junk has allowed seven runs and 14 hits across his last two starts in just 10 innings pitched.
New York starter Carlos Rodon has been great this season and will face a Miami lineup that struggles against left-handed pitchers.
The Marlins are 22nd in wRC+ with 96 overall, but fall to 79 and the 23rd spot against southpaws.
That is also why our Bet Labs' recommendation is to back the Yankees on the moneyline tonight.
When the Marlins open a series against a team coming off a game in the Eastern or Central time zone, the market often underrates the visiting team due to the perception of minimal travel impact.
In reality, these teams enter Game 1 with their routines intact and without the challenges of cross-country adjustments, allowing them to perform at expected or elevated levels.
Because the Marlins are not typically priced as a top-tier opponent, this creates value in fading them in the series opener.
This system capitalizes on that edge by betting against the Marlins in Game 1 during the regular or postseason when their opponent's previous game was played in the Eastern or Central time zone, turning overlooked market assumptions into a profitable opportunity.
Pick: Yankees ML -175
