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Mets vs Cardinals Predictions, Pick, MLB Odds

Mets vs Cardinals Predictions, Pick, MLB Odds article feature image
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Sam Navarro-Imagn Images. Pictured: Kyle Leahy.

The St. Louis Cardinals (2-1) host the New York Mets (2-1) on Monday, March 30. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SNY and Cardinals.TV.

The Mets are favored by -148 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line (+114). The Cardinals are +126 underdogs on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line (-134). The over/under is 8.5 (-122o / +100u).

Find my Mets vs Cardinals prediction for tonight's game below, plus the latest MLB odds, probable starters, weather, injury reports and more.


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Mets vs Cardinals Prediction

  • Mets vs Cardinals Pick: Over 8.5

My Mets vs Cardinals best bet is the game total to go over 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Mets vs Cardinals Odds, Lines

Mets Logo
Monday, March 30
7:45 p.m. ET
SNY; Cardinals.TV
Cardinals Logo
Mets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+114
8.5
-122o / -100u
-148
Cardinals Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-134
8.5
-122o / -100u
+126
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Mets vs Cardinals spread: Mets -1.5 (+114), Cardinals +1.5 (-134)
  • Mets vs Cardinals over/under: 8.5 (-122o / +100u)
  • Mets vs Cardinals moneyline: Mets -148, Cardinals +126


Mets vs Cardinals Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Clay Holmes (NYM)2025 StatsRHP Kyle Leahy (STL)
12-8W-L4-2
1.9fWAR (FanGraphs)1.4
3.53 / 4.33ERA /xERA3.07 / 4.43
4.11 / 4.25FIP / xFIP3.04 / 3.76
1.30WHIP1.23
8.9%K-BB%14.3%
55.8%GB%43.8%
100Stuff+100
101Location+102

Mets vs Cardinals Preview, Prediction

The Mets bullpen is also in a rough spot. They’ve been heavily taxed over the past few days, including multiple extra-inning games against Pittsburgh.

Key arms have been used frequently — they’ve had to rely on guys in high-leverage and extended situations, while also trying to protect their top relievers. That kind of workload tends to catch up quickly, especially after a series with repeated extra innings.

On the other side, the Cardinals offense is starting to show signs of life. They put up strong numbers in their recent series against Tampa Bay, with multiple high-scoring, back-and-forth games.

The lineup is extremely young — averaging around 24 to 24.5 years old — and the organization seems committed to letting these players develop through reps. Jordan Walker, in particular, is starting to hit the ball well again.

There’s real upside if this group takes a step forward offensively. The bigger issue is pitching — it’s been a major weakness and could lead to plenty of high-scoring games. If the bats continue to improve while the pitching struggles, this could quietly become one of the more consistent Over teams, even if historically they’ve leaned more toward the under.


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Mets vs Cardinals Prediction

I like the over in this Mets-Cardinals matchup. The weather sets up extremely well for offense — winds around 15 mph blowing out, combined with temperatures in the mid-70s. That’s a big jump from colder spots like Chicago and should help carry the ball.

Because of the back-to-back extra-inning series for the Mets, there’s also a case for a team total look here — I have them projected closer to 6.2 runs. But zooming out, I make the full game total around 9.5, while the market is offering 8.5 or 9 in most spots. That’s enough of a gap for me to back the over, and I’d be comfortable playing it up to 9 at around -110.

Pick: Over 8.5

Playbook

Mets vs Cardinals Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming

Location:Busch Stadium
Date:Monday, March 30
Time:7:45 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming Options:SNY; Cardinals.TV

Mets vs Cardinals Key Injuries

Mets Injuries

LHP AJ Minter (15-day IL; left lat surgery)
OF Mike Tauchman (left meniscus tear)

Cardinals Injuries

OF Lars Nootbaar (60-day IL; left/right heel surgery)
RHP Hunter Dobbins (15-day IL; torn right ACL)


Mets vs Cardinals Weather


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Author Profile
About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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