The Boston Red Sox host the New York Mets on May 20, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on TBS
Tuesday's game features a solid pitching matchup between Clay Holmes and Walker Buehler — the former factors into my Mets vs Red Sox predictions and parlay.
Mets vs Red Sox Predictions, Parlay Picks
- Clay Holmes Over 16.5 Pitching Outs
- Mets Moneyline
Parlay Odds: +165 (Fanatics)
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 +118 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -140 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -140 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +118 |
Mets vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Clay Holmes (NYM) | Stat | RHP Walker Buehler (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | W-L | 4-1 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 3.14 / 3.54 | ERA /xERA | 4.28 / 3.87 |
| 3.10 / 3.49 | FIP / xFIP | 4.29 / 3.73 |
| 1.25 | WHIP | 1.22 |
| 15.3% | K-BB% | 14.3% |
| 52.2% | GB% | 45.4% |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 103 | Location+ | 98 |
Mets vs Red Sox Parlay Picks, Predictions
Clay Holmes Over 16.5 Pitch Outs
I'm backing the Mets pitcher to get the job done and lead his team to victory Tuesday night against the Red Sox.
Clay Holmes has been solid all year. He’s 5-2 with a 3.14 ERA.
Regarding his outs prop, he has covered in three straight games and four of his last five. He has been throwing deeper into games.
Holmes is solid all around, and control is his primary weapon. Throwing a lot of strikes and keeping base runners off are his strengths.
I don't see this changing in Tuesday's matchup.
New York Mets ML
The Mets have been on a little skid of losses, but they should bounce back tonight.
Better pitching in this game will matter, and the Mets' bats will get hot.
As the Phillies try to close the divisional gap, New York will start to string some wins together.
Take the Mets and their stud pitcher to complete the job today.
Mets vs Red Sox Same-Game Parlay
- Clay Holmes Over 16.5 Outs
- New York Mets ML
Parlay Odds: +165 (Fanatics)
Mets vs Red Sox Betting Trends
