There are 15 games on Wednesday's MLB slate, meaning there's plenty of betting opportunities.
As a result, our MLB betting experts have found value in several spots, including Tigers vs. Guardians and Cardinals vs. Cubs. They're targeting both a first-five innings moneyline and a full-game moneyline. So, let's get right into the bets.
Here's a look at our best MLB bets for Wednesday, May 10th.
Wednesday's MLB Best Bets
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click the team logos for one the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
Specific bet recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Tigers vs. Guardians
By Nick Shlain
The American League Central is such a bad division that even the Detroit Tigers find themselves in the hunt, despite a below .500 record. Eduardo Rodriguez has helped keep Detroit afloat early on this season and, if he keeps up this pace, will likely represent the Tigers in the All-Star game.
One of my favorite bets on Wednesday's slate is the Tigers first five innings moneyline at +100 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Rodriguez has a 1.81 ERA through seven starts this season and has been untouchable lately. He's recorded a win in three of his past four starts and has has 39 strikeouts in 44 2/3 innings. Rodriguez faced Cleveland a few starts back and completed eight innings while allowing zero runs and striking out 10.
For the Guardians, Peyton Battenfield will be making the start and he has a 4.07 ERA with a 5.11 FIP this season. The Tigers should be able to win the first five innings as they have a big advantage when it comes to starting pitching.
Pick: Tigers 1st 5 Innings Moneyline |
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Cardinals vs. Cubs
By William Boor
The St. Louis Cardinals have been a massive disappointment this season as not many expected them to be in the NL Central basement. The "small sample size" argument still holds a little bit of water, but as the middle of May approaches, it's time to acknowledge that the Cardinals aren't who many expected them to be this season.
That being said, I'm backing Justin Steele and the Cubs against Jordan Montgomery and the Cardinals on Wednesday night in Chicago. Steele has been lights out this season, pitching to a 1.45 ERA with 36 strikeouts over 43 1/3 innings. The lefty has yet to give up more than two earned runs in a start and although his 2.99 xERA suggests some regression is coming, it's not enough to dampen my confidence in the Cubs. Steele ranks in just the 45th percentile when it comes to strikeout rate, but does an excellent job of limiting hard contact, ranking well in average exit velocity (96th percentile), hard-hit rate (98th percentile) and barrel percentage (86th percentile).
The Cardinals are averaging just under 4 1/2 runs per game this season, but have struggled on the road, where they are averaging just over 3 1/2 runs per game. St. Louis' road struggles, combined with Steele's success, pushes me toward Chicago in this matchup. However, the Cubs still need to score to win the game.
Chicago is averaging over 4 1/2 runs per game at home this season and will be going up against Montgomery, a 30-year-old lefty with a 3.29 ERA and a 3.52 xERA. The marginal difference between ERA and xERA suggests that's just who Montgomery is this season and that neither positive nor negative regression is loomig. Montgomery doesn't issue many free passes and ranks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to walk rate, but ranks below the 50th percentile in the following categories: hard-hit %, xBA, K%, Barrel % and Whiff %.
The Cubs should be able to find success against Montgomery and win against their rivals. I'd play this to -135.
Pick: Cubs Moneyline |
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.