Let's start the weekend early with some Friday best bets and prop picks. The Friday, April 18 slate features 15 and plenty of betting opportunities.
Our MLB betting experts have looked over the odds and identified the best value on the board. They've found multiple intriguing angles, so let's look over Friday's MLB best bets.
MLB Best Bets Friday Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:05 p.m. | |
  | 8:05 p.m. | |
| 8:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Derek Carty's Reds vs Orioles Pick: Fade Mateo
By Derek Carty
There may be some value on Jorge Mateo's hits prop.
THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.61 hits, and oddsmakers are implying 0.85. The model believes there is a 54% chance he records fewer than one hit. So, if you can get the under at +145 or better, there is great value.
Pick: Jorge Mateo Under 0.5 Hits (+145)
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Prop Model's Dodgers vs Rangers Best Bet: Expect Strikeouts Tonight
By Prop Model
Yoshinobu Yamamoto's strikeouts prop looks like a strong wager based on the current data.
The line of 5.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations. The prop projects to hit 69.64% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 11.31% edge. You can find all prop bet evaluations in ParlayIQ.
Pick: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-140)
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Charlie Wright's Dodgers vs Rangers Best Bet: Back Los Angeles Early
I'm worried about Jacob deGrom. He said he's dialing back the velocity for health reasons, but there's a chance he can't sit at 98 mph anymore because of those past injuries. The results on the 4-seamer have been brutal and it's actually been among the worst pitches in the league.
