MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props, Predictions Today – April 17

MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props, Predictions Today – April 17 article feature image
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Photo Credit: Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images. Pictured: Reese Olson

There are 10 games on the Thursday, April 17 slate, including several in the afternoon.

Day baseball is great and an awesome way to pass the time, but with games starting early, we have no time to waste. So, let's get right into today's MLB best bets.

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MLB Best Bets Today

The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Arizona Diamondbacks LogoMiami Marlins Logo
12:10 p.m.
Cleveland Guardians LogoBaltimore Orioles Logo
6:35 p.m.
Kansas City Royals LogoDetroit Tigers Logo
6:40 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Erik Beimfohr's Diamondbacks vs Marlins Best Bet: Can Carroll Stay Hot?

Arizona Diamondbacks Logo
Thursday, April 17
12:10 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Miami Marlins Logo
Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-140)
FanDuel Logo

By Erik Beimfohr

Edward Cabrera has been extremely vulnerable against lefties (.365 xwOBA allowed since the start of 2024), and this will be just his second start back after missing a good chunk of Spring Training and the start of the season with a recurring blister issue. Cabrera was rocked in the spring and was also shaky in his first start, especially against lefties.

That's good news for Corbin Carroll, who leads the charge in a lineup loaded with lefties, has been a top 3-5 hitter in baseball to start the season and has a .542 xwOBA and .526 xISO (!!) against right-handed pitching. The Marlins also have only one lefty in their horrendous bullpen, and he threw 20 pitches yesterday.

Pick: Corbin Carroll Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-140)



Prop Model's Guardians vs Orioles Best Bet: Trust Sugano's Command

Cleveland Guardians Logo
Thursday, April 17
6:35 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Baltimore Orioles Logo
Tomoyuki Sugano Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+150)
bet365 Logo

By Prop Model

The walks allowed prop for Tomoyuki Sugano looks like a strong under wager based on the current data. The line of 1.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations.

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