MLB Odds: Home Run Models Best Bets and Picks for 6/6

MLB Odds: Home Run Models Best Bets and Picks for 6/6 article feature image
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Minnesota Twins outfielder Harrison Bader (12) celebrates with third base Royce Lewis (23). Credit: Ed Szczepanski-Imagn Images

I've got my eye on two home run hitters, priced at +630 and +875, for MLB Friday.

We’ve got a full slate of MLB action and edges aplenty tonight. Friday's best home run picks are hefty edges from our PRO homer projections — our proprietary home run model that leverages intricate analysis, player data, park factors and odds comparisons to uncover top value plays.

Let’s dive into two under-the-radar home run picks for the night, highlighting strong prices to lock in across a pair of games.


MLB Odds: Home Run Models Best Bets and Picks for 6/6

Fun fact: I've been monitoring (and betting) home run projections every single day this season.

For context, the first pick I'm betting is a hitter who frequently makes the rounds as a projection edge in the home run department — when the price and matchup are there.

The pick may not jump off the page, but I've watched PRO Projections successfully call out a home run from this particular player in key spots; why not run it back?

The hot ticket is