For Wednesday, July 23, I'm on four MLB home run props: Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Cody Bellinger (against the Blue Jays), Ketel Marte (against the Astros), and Brent Rooker (against the Rangers).
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets for Wednesday.
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Wednesday, July 23
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 3:40 p.m. | |
| 7:07 p.m. | |
| 7:07 p.m. | |
| 8:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for July 23
Ketel Marte (+425)
at Astros (SP: LHP Brandon Walter)
Diamondbacks All-Star Marte draws a great matchup against Astros left-hander Brandon Walter, who has been absolutely crushed by righty power this season (1.88 HR/9).
Marte is having a career year with 19 HRs in 70 games and a career-high 15.9% barrel rate.
I have the true odds around +325 today, making this a great EV bet.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (+500); Cody Bellinger(+525)
at Blue Jays (SP: RHP Chris Bassitt)
Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt has been good this season, but he's still a plus matchup for lefty power (1.36 HR/9).
Historically, he's been one of the best matchups in the league for lefty power giving (1.5 HR/9 since 2023).
Rogers Centre has been one of the best parks in the league for lefty power this season, ranking as a top-five ballpark, according to Statcast.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is having a career year with 18 home runs and a career high 17.4% barrel rate.
I have the true odds on Jazz over 100 points lower today.
Another Yankee I like tonight is Cody Bellinger, who is looking closer to the player he was earlier in his career with 18 homers on the year and six this month.
I have the true odds for Bellinger over 100 points lower.
Brent Rooker (+390)
at Rangers (SP: LHP Patrick Corbin)
Rangers starter Patrick Corbin is surprisingly having a great year this year, but he's still a plus matchup for righty power (1.17 HR/9) and he's due for some negative regression with a 40% fly-ball rate.
Athletics slugger Brent Rooker is one of the best HR hitters in the league.
I have the true odds for Rooker around +325, making this a great EV bet.
