For Saturday, June 14, I'm on five MLB home run props, and they're all from one game: Angels vs Orioles.
The Angels feature a ton of power bats, and I see value on Mike Trout, Jo Adell, Zach Neto and Logan O'Hoppe. On the Orioles' side, there's value on Ryan O'Hearn to go deep.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and picks for Saturday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Saturday, June 14
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for June 14
Mike Trout (+425)
at Orioles (SP: RHP Tomoyuki Sugano)
There is all sorts of value on Angels hitters today.
The weather and ballpark aren't necessarily great, but the odds on a lot of Halos don't make much sense to me. There are about five Angels bats who have insane pop, starting with the future Hall of Famer: Mike Trout.
Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano has suppressed righty power at a slightly above-average rate this season, but he's due for some regression given his 41% fly-ball rate and an xFIP 0.49 higher than his FIP.
I have the true odds on Trout over 100 points lower.
Zach Neto (+675)
at Orioles (SP: RHP Tomoyuki Sugano)
Staying with the trend, I'm also on Zach Neto, who has a 90th percentile barrel rate, 93rd percentile xSLG and 98th percentile launch angle sweet spot.
I have the true odds on Neto over 150 points lower.
Jo Adell (+700)
at Orioles (SP: RHP Tomoyuki Sugano)
Jo Adell is perhaps the hottest Angels hitter at the moment.
The former top prospect has six home runs in 11 games this month. He ranks 42nd in barrel rate and, like Neto, has a Statcast page that lights up red for key power metrics with a 94th percentile xSLG and elite bat speed.
I have the true odds on Adell over 150 points lower.
Logan O'Hoppe (+575)
at Orioles (SP: RHP Tomoyuki Sugano)
Logan O'Hoppe has had an up-and-down season thus far, but the power is undeniable.
He enters Saturday with 14 home runs, which is second most for catchers in MLB behind only Cal Raleigh. O'Hoppe has yet to homer in June, but there's value in him breaking through today.
I have the true odds over 150 points lower on O'Hoppe.
Ryan O'Hearn (+750)
vs. Angels (SP: LHP Tyler Anderson)
The spot here for Ryan O'Hearn is too good to pass up when you consider the odds.
Yes, Tyler Anderson is a lefty, but he's a reverse-splits lefty, and he's been crushed by left-handed power hitters this season, allowing 2.5 HR/9 to go along with a huge 57.4% fly-ball rate.
Camden Yards is great for lefty power, and the weather should get better for hitting as the game goes along with the winds shifting.
If there's a delay, that will only help hitting.
I have the true odds on O'Hearn over 100 points lower.
