Opening weekend continues with the first Saturday slate of the MLB season.
To celebrate, I've got 3 MLB Home Run Props and home-run picks, including picks for A's vs Blue Jays, Tigers vs Padres and Diamondbacks vs Dodgers.
MLB Home Run Props: Today's Expert HR Picks
Want more MLB home run picks? Click here for an EXCLUSIVE discount! Get $50 off your first month of ScoresAndOdds Premium!
A's vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop
The line here is drastically too high for Okamoto today.
While we don't have a sample size for him in the majors, based on his Japan numbers, he grades out around a 30 HR.
Springs is a well-above-average matchup for righty power, allowing a large 1.66 HR/9 last season to righties.
The ballpark is a plus and I have the true odds around +400 here, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Kazuma Okamoto Home Run (+500 or Better)
Tigers vs Padres HR Pick
McGonigle has been absolutely incredible to start the season, and while he doesn't have an HR, he's a few feet from having two after being robbed last night and hitting off the top of the wall on Thursday.
The weather is around average for this game, and the matchup is a plus with Vasquez grading out around a 1.4 HR/9 pitcher vs. lefties.
I have the true odds here around +500, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Kevin McGonigle (+600 or Better)
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Expert HR Pick
Glasnow is a tough matchup overall, but he's just a slightly below-average matchup for lefty power, which is more than enough to justify taking this line.
Marte has been one of the best HR bats in the league over the last few seasons, with 65 HRs in his last 263 games.
The weather is slightly above average in LA and I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Ketel Marte (+390 or Better)
