We have a 16-game slate, courtesy of a Cubs-Mets doubleheader, and you know I've got some bangers for today.
Here are my four favorite MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 6:45 PM | |
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction, Pick
Dillon Dingler has been great this season, and these odds are way too high given the spot.
Ryan Weathers is getting the start for the Yankees, and he is a complete gas can for righty power. This ballpark is below average for power, and the weather isn't great, but these odds more than make up for it.
I have the true odds for the Tigers catcher around +425, making this a great bet.
Pick: Dillon Dingler Home Run
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Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, Pick
This is a great spot for lefty power, and these odds are far too high. The weather should be good for hitting, with temperatures in the low 80s and wind blowing out at 6 mph.
Phillies SP Aaron Nola is a complete gas can for lefty power at this point in his career, allowing over a 2.00 HR/9 this season and last season.
C.J. Abrams has been one of the best home run hitters in the league this season, and I have the true odds for the Nationals shortstop under +400.
Pick: C.J. Abrams Home Run
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Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick
Astros starter Mike Burrows has struggled heavily with power this season, and he has historically been a plus matchup for righty power, allowing a career 1.47 HR/9.
This ballpark is a plus for power, and I have the true odds for the Blue Jays' Kazuma Okamoto around +325, making this a great bet.
Pick: Kazuma Okamoto Home Run
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Dodgers vs Twins Prediction, Pick
This is strictly a price play. Shohei Ohtani has been great at suppressing power, and while he does grade out as a below-average matchup, the Dodgers superstar is due for some massive negative regression.
This ballpark is good for power, and the weather should be a plus for hitting.
Byron Buxton is one of the hottest hitters in the league right now, and I have the true odds for the Twins CF around +320.
Pick: Byron Buxton Home Run
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