It's Thursday, so that means afternoon baseball, and I've got some bangers for today's 9-game slate.
Read on for my Home Run Picks Today for Thursday, April 23.
Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of our MLB staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1:05 ET | |
| 3:40 ET | |
| 6:10 ET | |
| 7:10 ET | |
| 8:05 ET | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Pick
C.J. Abrams
Home Run
C.J. Abrams is off to a great start to the season, and while he's probably not a 35-HR guy, he's an above-average power bat.
We don't have a huge sample size on the Braves pitcher J.R. Ritchie in the majors, but he grades out as a plus matchup for lefty power.
I have the true odds for the Nationals SS around +600, making this a great bet.
Pick: C.J. Abrams Home Run (+680)
White Sox vs. Diamondbacks Player Prop
Colson Montgomery
Home Run
At this point right now, the White Sox have two of the hottest hitters in baseball in Colson Montgomery and Munetaka Murakami, so I'm riding out this streak.
This is a good spot for Montgomery going up against Arizona SP Michael Soroka, who is an above-average matchup for lefty power and has been a matchup that is well above average the last few seasons.
I have the true odds here around +400.
Pick: Colson Montgomery Home Run (+500)
Yankees vs. Red Sox Home Run Prop
Giancarlo Stanton
Home Run
Giancarlo Stanton gets a solid matchup, and these odds are far too high.
The Red Sox's Payton Tolle grades out as a plus matchup for righty power, and even in Stanton's old age, the Yankees slugger is still hammering the ball when he makes contact.
The weather won't be great for hitting, but even incorporating that, I have the true odds here under +400, making this an excellent bet.
Pick: Giancarlo Stanton Home Run (+434)
Twins vs. Mets Top HR Pick
Byron Buxton
Home Run
The Twins' Byron Buxton is one of the best hitters in baseball, and these odds are too high given the spot.
We don't have a big sample size of his opposing pitcher today, the Mets' Christian Scott, in the majors, but he grades out as a plus matchup for righty power.
The weather and ballpark aren't great, but I have the true odds here around +320.
Pick: Byron Buxton Home Run (+367)
Pirates vs. Rangers Home Run Pick
Corey Seager
Home Run
Rangers SS Corey Seager gets a good matchup going up against Pirates SP Bubba Chandler, who grades out as a plus matchup for lefty power.
Seager is one of the best home run hitters in the league and is priced way too high given the spot.
I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Corey Seager Home Run (+410)
