Monday's MLB slate may be light, but I've still got some bangers in the following games: Yankees vs Orioles, Mariners vs Astros, and Giants vs Dodgers.
Read on for my Home Run Picks and find out why I'm on Pete Alonso, Julio Rodriguez, and Max Muncy.
MLB Home Run Picks, Predictions
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run props from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 6:35 p.m. | |
| 8:10 p.m. | |
| 10:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Yankees vs. Orioles Home Run Pick
Pete Alonso
Over 0.5 Home Runs +450
Getting Big Meat Pete at these odds in this spot is a big mistake by the books.
He's been in great form recently, and even though the weather isn't going to be great for hitting, the matchup is great versus a gas can.
Ryan Weathers has been hit hard in his career by righty power, giving up a 1.67 HR/9.
I have the true odds here, nearly 100 points lower, making this a great bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs +450
Mariners vs Astros HR Prop
Julio Rodriguez
Over 0.5 Home Runs +490
J-Rod has been in great form, and this is a good spot.
This park is an upgrade for power, and the matchup vs. Peter Lambert is great. Lambert has been crushed by righty power in his career (1.60 HR/9), and while he hasn't allowed a bomb this season, he's due for some regression.
I have the true odds here around +420, making this a great bet.
Pick: Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs +490
Giants vs. Dodgers Homer Pick
Max Muncy
Over 0.5 Home Runs +420
Muncy has looked like his old self this season and has been absolutely hammering the ball, with 10 bombs in 38 games.
The matchup is incredible vs. Trevor McDonald. We don't have a huge sample size of McDonald in the majors, but he doesn't have an out pitch for lefties and grades out as a great matchup for lefty power.
I have the true odds here around +325, making this a great bet.
Pick: Max Muncy Over 0.5 Home Runs +420
