Giants vs. Reds Odds
Giants | -110 |
Reds | -110 |
Total | 10.5 (-105 / -115) |
Date | Wednesday, July 19 |
Time | 7:10 p.m. ET |
TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Wednesday afternoon.
The San Francisco Giants play the third game of a four-game series with the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday night at Great American Ball Park.
The Reds were one of the hottest teams in MLB heading into the All-Star break. They have now lost five straight games since returning from the break after losing to the Giants on Tuesday night.
Gunner Ashcraft will be on the bump for the Reds, while the Giants will go with Ross Stripling.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Mike Yastrzemski player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Yastrzemski to get his bat hot against Ashcraft.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Mike Yastrzemski Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Yastrzemski has struggled a bit this season. He's batting just .246 with 11 home runs and 26 RBI.
He may have found something in last night's game against the Reds with a two-RBI double.
The model indicates the likelihood of Yastrzemski tallying at least one RBI is higher than what the sportsbooks believe. BetMGM has set the total for over 0.5 RBI at +145, while the under is -190. That's the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Yastrzemski will have 0.8 RBI tonight, good enough for about a 15% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.