The Arizona Diamondbacks (41-39) host the Miami Marlins (34-45) on Friday, June 27, 2025. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Dbacks TV and FanDuel Sports Florida.
Continue below to find my Marlins vs Diamondbacks prediction and pick for the first five innings (F5).
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction, F5 Pick
- Marlins vs Diamondbacks Pick: F5 Under 4.5 (Bet at -105 | -125 at BetMGM)
My Marlins vs Diamondbacks best bet is on the first-half Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -136 | 8 -118o / -103u | +152 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +112 | 8 -118o / -103u | -187 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Eury Perez (MIA) | Stat | RHP Merrill Kelly (ARI) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | W-L | 7-3 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.8 |
| 6.17 / 3.62 | ERA / xERA | 3.39 / 3.91 |
| 2.99 / 5.00 | FIP / xFIP | 3.31 / 3.28 |
| 1.63 | WHIP | 1.05 |
| 7.4% | K-BB% | 18.3 |
| 33.3% | GB% | 46% |
| 119 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 95 | Location+ | 104 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Preview, Prediction
I am happy to back both pitchers here, as I think both Eury Perez and Merrill Kelly are more than capable of shutting down the opposing offenses.
I am betting the first-half Under because both teams have bad bullpens, but I like the chances of the starters doing well.
Kelly has pitched well this season, as he has a 3.48 SIERA and has allowed just a .147 ISO.
For Perez, this matchup is better than usual, as Corbin Carroll is out, and Perez has done a solid job of preventing power.
Pick: F5 Under 4.5 (Bet at -105 | -125 at BetMGM)
