The Washington Nationals (50-75) and New York Mets (67-58) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 6:45 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on SNY.
New York is a -175 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Washington is +145 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 9 total runs.
Continue below for my Mets vs Nationals predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, August 20, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Mets vs Nationals Prediction
- Mets vs Nationals pick: Over 9 Runs (-105)
My Mets vs Nationals best bet is on the over, with the best price currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Nationals Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 9 -115o / -105u | -175 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 9 -115o / -105u | +145 |
Mets vs Nationals Preview, Picks
Late in the MLB season, games played in hitter-friendly or high-variance environments — such as in Colorado, Arizona, and Washington — tend to go over the total when the closing line is modest (≤10.5).
These markets often underestimate run production during the final stretch of the season due to weather conditions (e.g., dry heat in AZ/CO, humid air in DC) and expanded rosters increasing bullpen volatility.
Public perception around fatigue or playoff pressure may further depress totals, which appears to be the case in tonight's matchup between the Mets and Nationals.
This creates value when betting overs in August to October for these specific home teams, particularly during regular season games.
Mets vs Nationals Best Bet
- Over 9 (-105)
