Mets vs. Giants Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-110 | 9 -105/ -115 | -1.5 +146 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| -106 | 9 -105/ -115 | +1.5 -176 |
I've built a three-leg same-game parlay for Mets vs. Giants on Sunday Night Baseball.
The Mets season hasn't gone to plan, with key injuries to Edwin Diaz and Justin Verlander. New York is still 14-8, though, which the Giants would take. San Francisco is 7-13 and is still without its key offseason addition in Mitch Haniger.
Let's break down our three legs for the final MLB matchup of the week.
The Parlay (+571):
- Ross Stripling Over 3.5 Strikeouts
- Pete Alonso 2+ Total Bases
- Giants +1.5
Same-Game Parlay – Mets vs Giants
Ross Stripling Over 3.5 Strikeouts
I'm surprised that this line is so low for Stripling here. Looking at his game log, though, he's only gone over 3.5 strikeouts in one of his four starts this season. However, that's primarily because he hasn't been pitching deep into games.
Two starts ago, Stripling struck out six batters against the Dodgers while only completing 3 1/3 innings. He's only completed five innings once this season and only struck out three batters in that game, which was against the Yankees.
While the Mets aren't a strikeout-heavy lineup and Stripling has just a 21% strikeout percentage since the beginning of last season, I have him projected for four strikeouts here. Let's hope he goes at least five innings and gets us there to start off this same game parlay.
Pete Alonso 2+ Total Bases
Alonso has been ripping the cover off the ball to start the season. He's hitting .279 with a .360 ISO. Stripling has allowed a .188 ISO to right-handed batters since the beginning of last season.
Let's not overthink this one. Alonso is the Mets' best hitter. He has 10 home runs already this season, and we don't even need him to hit a home run to get us there. A double or two singles will still cover this part of the parlay.
Giants +1.5
While the Mets are clearly a better team than the Giants, I like taking the run line here.
Tylor Megill is scheduled to start and while he has a 3.00 ERA after four starts, his xERA is 5.17 and his xFIP is 5.48. He also has an 18% strikeout percentage and a 12% walk percentage. He's due to regress and not in a positive way.
I expect the Giants to capitalize on that, especially their left-handed hitters. Megill has allowed a .190 ISO to lefty bats since the beginning of last season.
The beauty of taking the Giants on the run line is that we don't even need them to win. Just keeping this game close will round out our parlay.
