Nationals vs. Mariners Odds
| Nationals | +220 |
| Mariners | -275 |
| Total | 8.5 (-110 / -110) |
| Date | Wednesday, June 28 |
| Time | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Wednesday afternoon.
The Seattle Mariners play the Washington Nationals this afternoon to wrap-up a three-game series between the two National League clubs.
The series has split 1-1 and it has been full of runs. There's been a total of 23 runs between the two clubs over two games. Our model is indicating the offense won't be slowing down this afternoon.
Logan Gilbert is on the bump for the Mariners while the Nationals will throw Patrick Corbin to try and close out the series.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Gilber player prop at BetMGM for Wednesday, expecting Gilbert to struggle a little bit against the Nationals.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair-value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Logan Gilbert Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Gilbert has started 15 games so far this season and is 5-4 with a 4.07 ERA.
The right-hander has found some success striking guys out this season with 9.3 K/9.
However, the model indicates Gilbert's strikeout total is too high. BetMGM has set his strikeout total Wednesday at 5.5, with +120 to the over and -150 to the under.
Gilbert has had five or less strikeouts in each of his last three games.
MLB betting analyst Sean Koerner has the under 5.5 line projected at -165. That means -150 at BetMGM is a 2.5% edge on the under.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same unit size for each individual bet.
Pick: Logan Gilbert Under 5.5 strikeouts (-150)
