The San Diego Padres (40-34) host the Kansas City Royals (37-38) on Friday, June 20, 2025. First pitch from PETCO Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
The Padres enter Friday having lost three of their last four games while the Royals are coming off a sweep of the Rangers.
Continue below to find my Royals vs Padres prediction and prop pick.
Royals vs Padres Prediction, Prop Pick
- Royals vs Padres Pick: Michael Lorenzen Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115, BetMGM)
My Royals vs Padres best bet is on Michael Lorenzen's strikeout prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs Padres Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +122 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +143 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -149 |
Royals vs Padres Preview: Michael Lorenzen Prop Prediction
Kansas City Royals Player Prop
I tried to pick on this Padres team last night with a strikeout prop, and that proved to be a mistake, as Yoshinobu Yamamoto finished with just five strikeouts.
Michael Lorenzen is a pitcher with a much lower strikeout rate, as he has just a 19.5% strikeout rate on the season.
This matchup is brutal for strikeouts, as the projected Padres lineup has a combined strikeout rate of 18% against right-handed pitchers since the start of last season.
Pick: Michael Lorenzen Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115, BetMGM)
