The Minnesota Twins host the Kansas City Royals on August 8, 2025. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MNNT.
Find my MLB betting preview and Royals vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Royals vs Twins Prediction
- Royals vs Twins pick: Salvador Perez to Hit a Home Run (+475, bet365)
My Royals vs Twins best bet is on Salvador Perez to hit a home run. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs Twins Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -186 | 8.5 -107o / -113u | +112 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +151 | 8.5 -107o / -113u | -137 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction, Betting Analysis
As the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins start a weekend series, my best bet stems from veteran catcher Salvador Perez.
At 35 years old, Perez is showing no signs of slowing down, especially with his power numbers heating up as the season progresses. While he’s hit a solid 20 home runs so far this year, an impressive 11 of those have come in the last 30 games, signaling a significant power surge.
PRO Projections, our proprietary betting model, identified a strong edge on Perez hitting a home run in Friday’s opener. The model places Perez’s home run projection at 0.26 for the game, which translates to an implied fair price near +284.
However, the current market offers odds of +475 (bet365), making this one of the best betting values of the day.
Looking deeper, StatCast data also supports Perez’s power outlook. He ranks in the 90th percentile in both barrel rate (14%) and expected slugging percentage (xSLG), indicating quality contact and potent power potential.
Park factors are also on Perez’s side. While Kauffman Stadium, where he plays home games, ranks 28th among MLB parks for home runs this season, Target Field in Minnesota is a better hitter-friendly venue, sitting at No. 20.
All signs, from recent form to advanced metrics and ballpark context, suggest Perez is a smart play to go deep in Friday’s series opener.
Pick: Salvador Perez to Hit a Home Run (+475, bet365)
Moneyline
I don't have a play on the moneyline in this Royals vs. Twins series opener.
Run Line (Spread)
I also don't like anything on the run line.
Over/Under
I don't have a play on the regular total, either.
Royals vs Twins Betting Trends
