The New York Yankees host the Houston Astros on August 8, 2025. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
Find my MLB betting preview and Astros vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Astros vs Yankees Prediction
Astros vs Yankees pick: Under 7.5
My Astros vs Yankees best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Astros vs Yankees Odds, Spread
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +160 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -108 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -194 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -108 |
Astros vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Hunter Brown (HOU) | Stat | RHP Cam Schlittler (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 3.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 2.47/3.01 | ERA /xERA | 4.58/5.01 |
| 2.94/2.98 | FIP / xFIP | 5.96/4.34 |
| 0.98 | WHIP | 1.68 |
| 22.7% | K-BB% | 11.4% |
| 45.8% | GB% | 37.5% |
| 109 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 96 | Location+ | 98 |
My Astros vs Yankees Betting Preview
Houston Astros Betting Preview: Brown Back To Dominant Form
Hunter Brown burst onto the scene in the second half of last year and has firmly established himself as one of the game’s most elite pitchers. He ranks sixth in the league in ERA and sits in the top five in Cy Young odds. His baseball savant page is solid red. Brown is in the top 20% of the league in every category.
After three dominant months, Brown had a bit of a shaky July, posting a 5.54 ERA in his five starts last month. However, he bounced back in his last outing and was brilliant, allowing one run in seven innings against Boston. Brown can either overpower hitters with his 97 miles per hour fastball or induce weak ground balls with his sinker.
Houston’s offense has been treading water for most of the season, struggling to stay healthy consistently. They have plenty of guys who can mash in the lineup, but they have rarely been on the field all together. Yordan Alvarez and Isaac Paredes both remain on the injured list, but star shortstop Jeremy Pena recently returned to the lineup.
The Astros have been below average at the plate, ranking 18th in wRC+ and wOBA. They don’t strike out a ton, but they also do not generate walks or run the bases well. Over the last 30 days, the Astros have been even worse, sitting at 24th in wRC+, but Carlos Correa has looked like his old self back in a Houston jersey.
New York Yankees Betting Preview: Still a Long Way To Go for Schlittler
The Yankees' top pitching prospect Cam Schlittler made his MLB debut on July 9 and has shown off his talent through his first four starts. He has a 4.58 ERA and has struck out 21 batters in less than 20 innings. While the results haven’t been perfect, it’s clear the stuff is there.
Schlittler throws a fastball that touches 100 miles per hour and has a 30% strikeout rate. The issue for Schlitter has been locating his pitches. His fastball is dominant enough that opponents haven’t been able to hit it, but he has issued 11 walks in four starts and has a 12.5% walk rate. He has also had issues locating his slider, which has resulted in it being left over the heart of the plate, where it winds up in the seats.
The Yankees' offense also puts plenty of balls in the seats, leading the league in home runs and OPS on the year. They have scored the third most runs and generate more walks than any team in the league by a wide margin. The offense has gone cold over the last two weeks, but it welcomed its MVP back to the lineup.
Aaron Judge is batting .339 with a 1.148 and returned from the injured list two games ago, at a time they desperately need him in the lineup. The rest of the lineup outside of Judge has been up and down throughout the year, with one or two guys usually locked in at any time alongside Judge. Right now, that has been Giancarlo Stanton and, surprisingly, Anthony Volpe. Volpe has been crushing the ball with a .904 OPS over the last two weeks, helping to offset his poor defensive play.
Astros vs Yankees Prediction, Betting Analysis
Brown has established himself as one of the most dominant pitchers in the game and the under is 13-8-1 in his starts this season. Most elite pitchers are either great at generating strikeouts or pitching to weak contact. Brown does both. He is sixth in the league with a 10.65 K/9 rate and also ranks 16th with a 45.8% groundball rate. His fastball is nearly unhittable, and he pairs that with his curveball to strike hitters out. And then he also uses his sinker and changeup to force weak ground balls that turn into easy outs.
Schlitter has gotten himself into trouble, but he still has elite stuff and tremendous upside. He has a 9.61 K/9 rate and has a fastball that can get out any hitter in the league. His issue has just been his locating his pitches and giving up walks or leaving the ball out of the plate. Houston ranks in the bottom five of the league in walks and has below-average power. He won’t be perfect, but if he can limit the damage to a few mistakes, he should be fine.
Both of these bullpens will be fully rested from a day off yesterday and ready to take over when the starters leave the game. Over the last 30 days, these teams rank 22nd and 24th in wRC+. Neither offense is firing right now, so I like the under on Friday night.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-110 via Fanatics)
Astros vs Yankees Betting Trends
