We've got a shorter six-game slate on Thursday, but I've still got some bangers.
Here are a few home run picks for today's White Sox vs. Royals and Rockies vs. Padres games.
Home Run Picks Today
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Picks
Munetaka Murakami has been off to a great start to the season, and this spot is far too good to pass up. Seth Lugo was absolutely crushed by lefty power last season and grades out as an above-average matchup for lefty power.
Meanwhile, the spot is similarly good for Bobby Witt Jr., and the odds are way too high. We don't have a huge sample size of opposing pitcher Anthony Kay in the majors, but he grades out as an above-average matchup for righty power.
After they brought in Kauffman Stadium fences in the offseason, the ballpark should be above average for power, and the weather should be a plus for hitting — temperatures in the high-70s with 10 MPH winds blowing out.
I make the fair odds for a Murakami home run under +400, and I make the fair odds for a Witt home run around +400. Both are great bets.
Picks:
- Munetaka Murakami Home Run
- Bobby Witt Jr. Home Run
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Today
Mickey Moniak has been in good form recently, and this is a good spot.
The weather should be slightly below average, but this ballpark is one of the best in the league for homers.
The matchup against Randy Vasquez is a plus for lefty power, as he's allowing 1.30 HR/9 in his career.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop around +420.
Picks:
- Mickey Moniak Home Run
