The Detroit Tigers host the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSDET.
Find my MLB betting preview and Guardians vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Guardians vs Tigers Prediction
- Guardians vs Tigers pick: Under 8 (-102)
My Guardians vs Tigers best bet is Under 8. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Tigers Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8 -118o / -102u | +125 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8 -118o / -102u | -150 |
Guardians vs Tigers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Gavin Williams (CLE) | Stat | RHP Jack Flaherty (DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | W-L | 8-13 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.4 |
| 3.16 / 4.39 | ERA / xERA | 4.69 / 4.11 |
| 4.61 / 4.27 | FIP / xFIP | 3.88 / 3.68 |
| 1.29 | WHIP | 1.28 |
| 11.1% | K-BB% | 19.2% |
| 44.6% | GB% | 36.8% |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 94 | Location+ | 100 |
The Betting Insider’s Guardians vs Tigers Game Preview
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview: Solid Season from Williams
Cleveland will send Gavin Williams to the mound. He enters tonight with a 3.16 ERA and 1.29 WHIP across 29 starts this season.
After battling some inconsistency early in the year, Williams has firmly established himself as one of the Guardians’ most dependable arms and has been nothing short of dominant since the All-Star break.
Over his last 10 outings, the young right-hander has posted a 2.28 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, while striking out 24% of the batters he’s faced and holding opponents to a minuscule .191 batting average.
Williams leans on a lively four-seam fastball that sits just under 97 mph, and he complements it with a sharp curveball and a sweeping slider that both grade well above league average in movement and whiff rate.
That arsenal has allowed him to attack hitters in multiple ways, inducing ground balls and generating swings-and-misses when he needs them most.
The last time Williams faced this Tigers lineup, back in early July, he completely stifled them. He worked six scoreless innings, giving up just one hit and striking out eight.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview: Good Matchup for Flaherty
The Tigers will counter with right-hander Jack Flaherty, who’s been up and down this season but still has the ability to dominate when his command is locked in.
Through 29 starts, Flaherty owns an 8–13 record with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. His strikeout rate remains among the best in the Detroit rotation, and his 10.6 K/9 shows he can still miss bats with his mix of fastball/slider. His FIP and xFIP are quite encouraging as well, sitting at 3.88 and 3.68, respectively.
The trouble has been inconsistency —walks creep up (around 9% BB rate), and he’s given up hard contact in spurts, especially when falling behind in counts.
At Comerica Park, however, Flaherty has looked much steadier. He has allowed a batting average of just .226 at home, compared to .260 on the road, and sees his ERA drop nearly a full point.
Flaherty has seen these Guardians more than a few times over the last two seasons and looked dominant in every single start. In five appearances vs Cleveland since 2024, he has allowed just five earned runs and 18 hits across 32 innings.
If he can keep the ball down and force Cleveland’s hitters to chase outside the zone, which they have done all season long, Flaherty has the potential to put together another impressive outing.
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Betting Analysis
With reverse line movement, favorable weather conditions, and two above-average pitchers, nearly a dozen of The Betting Insider’s MLB systems have been triggered for tonight’s game. Check a couple of them out below!
System) Divisional RLM Unders (65% win rate, 26% ROI)
The game is a division game
The O/U change from open to close is between -1.5 and -0.5
The over/under % is between 1% and 30%
The closing total is between 7.5 and 9.5
The series game # is between 2 and 7
Since 2019
System) Wind Blowing In, 2nd Half of Season, No Terrible Teams (60% win rate, 15% ROI)
The wind direction is in
Both teams’ win percentages are above 40%
The home team’s game number is between 80 and 161
The home team’s 3-game over percentage is between 0% and 67%
System) Home Team Favored vs Teams on a Winning Streak (63% win rate, 20% ROI)
The visiting team’s 5-game recent win percentage is 100%
The home moneyline is between -220 and -110
The temperature is below 80 degrees
The home team’s game number is between 40 and 163
The over/under % is between 1% and 50%
Pick: Under 8
Moneyline
No bet for us here.
Run Line (Spread)
Not interested in the run line for this game.
Over/Under
As mentioned, we are taking Under 8 runs.
Guardians vs Tigers Betting Trends
