Dodgers vs. Rockies Odds
| DodgersOdds | -210 |
| RockiesOdds | +170 |
| Total | 12 (-105 / -115) |
| Date | Thursday, June 29 |
| Time | 8:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Thursday afternoon.
The Los Angeles Dodgers play the last game of a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies on Thursday.
The series is split after the Rockies took Wednesday's game, 9-8.
Tonight, the Rockies will face Dodgers starter Emmet Sheehan. The heralded rookie will be making his first start at Coors Field, a place infamous for tormenting pitchers.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Sheehan player prop at BetMGM, and it's expecting the right-hander to have his way against the Rockies.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of the game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Emmet Sheehan Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Sheehan has put together special performances in his first two games in the Major Leagues.
He debuted with a six-inning, no-hit showing against the San Francisco Giants. He followed that up with six innings of two-run ball against the Houston Astros, which resulted in his first big-league win.
The model indicates Sheehan's strikeout total for Dodgers vs. Rockies is way too low. BetMGM has set his strikeout total tonight at 4.5, with -105 to the over and -120 to the under. That's the best price on the over in the market.
Sheehan has tallied seven strikeouts over his first two starts. With Double-A Tulsa this season, he had 88 strikeouts in 53 1/3 innings. Though it hasn't happened with the Dodgers yet, he's flashed the ability to miss bats and the Rockies lineup is a great lineup to prove that against.
The model predicts Sheehan will have 5.7 strikeouts against the Rockies, which is good enough for over a 15% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Emmet Sheehan Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-105)
