Dodgers vs Blue Jays Odds, Prediction
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line (Spread) |
-145 | 7.5 -110o /-110u | -1.5 +118 |
| Toronto Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line (Spread) |
+120 | 7.5 -110o /-110u | +1.5 -140 |
Tyler Glasnow has been a tremendous addition for the Los Angeles Dodgers and is set to throw against Yusei Kikuchi — who has also been phenomenal for the Toronto Blue Jays — on Saturday. Kikuchi has been limiting hard contact and is striking out more hitters than ever. Will this last? Maybe, maybe not, but at the moment, he's been comparable to Glasnow.
The Dodgers are strong against right-handed pitchers, but not as dominant against left-handers. Kikuchi can also work deep into games, which will lessen the impact Toronto's bullpen has on this contest. As a result, the Blue Jays have a good shot to win this game.
That being said, let's preview the second Interleague game between Los Angeles and Toronto and get into my Dodgers vs Blue Jays prediction.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Glasnow has been stellar. There is no doubt about it. His ERA and xERA are both below 3.00 and he also boasts an above average Average Exit Velocity and Hard-Hit Rate. He is striking out more than 30% of hitters and only walking 6.3%.
Now, the Dodgers can slug the ball. Their lineup is stacked with eight hitters who possess an xwOBA over .320 off of lefties. That said, Austin Barnes, Jason Heyward and Andy Pages all have 10 plate appearances or fewer against lefties, so the sample sizes are quite small. Collectively, Los Angeles is slightly above average with a 105 wRC+ and a 9.2% walk rate.
In relief, the Dodgers are much better than the Blue Jays, but still have a 4.14 xFIP. Glasnow usually can pitch deep into games, but the Dodgers' bullpen is vulnerable.
Toronto Blue Jays
Kikuchi holds a sub-3.00 ERA and xERA. He is striking out almost 30% of batters and has an above average walk rate. With the exception of his first start, Kikuchi has pitched into the sixth inning in each outing this season. That'll be key against Saturday as Toronto's bullpen is a major weakness.
The Blue Jays have six bats with an xwOBA over .320 against righties. The team also has a 99 wRC+ and a 9.9% walk rate. There isn't much of a wide gap between these lineups when using the Dodgers' splits against lefties and many of Toronto's hitters — such as Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. and Bo Bichette — have been underwhelming.
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Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
Betting Pick & Prediction
Toronto is the value play in this game. Kikuchi has been just as good as Glasnow and is worth a play at plus money. Both relief staffs have been below average, but if Kikuchi can get into the sixth inning, as he has done numerous times this season, the Blue Jays can win this game. Bet the Blue Jays down to +110.
