The Cleveland Guardians (40-46) host the Detroit Tigers (55-34) on Saturday, July 5. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET; the game will broadcast live on FOX.
The latest Tigers vs Guardians odds have the Tigers as -136 moneyline favorites and Guardians as +111 underdogs. The game total is set at 9 with Casey Mize and Logan Allen as the projected starting pitchers.
Continue below to find my Tigers vs Guardians prediction and pick for the first five innings (F5), as well as probable pitchers, betting trends and more.
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, F5 Pick
- Tigers vs Guardians pick: Tigers First Five Innings -0.5 (+100)
My Guardians vs Tigers best bet is on Detroit to cover the first five innings (F5) spread, with the best line currently available at BetMGM. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Odds, Lines
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +119 | 9 -111o / -110u | -136 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -145 | 9 -111o / -110u | +111 |
Tigers vs Guardians Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Casey Mize (DET) | Stat | LHP Logan Allen (CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | W-L | 5-6 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 2.86 / 3.23 | ERA /xERA | 4.27 / 4.54 |
| 3.88 / 3.97 | FIP / xFIP | 4.44 / 4.77 |
| 1.21 | WHIP | 1.49 |
| 15.3 | K-BB% | 7.6 |
| 39.9 | GB% | 43.9 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 107 | Location+ | 95 |
Tigers vs Guardians Preview, Prediction
This is a perfect spot for the Tigers, as they have been one of the best offenses in baseball against left-handed pitchers and will see a struggling southpaw today in Logan Allen, who has posted a 4.9 xFIP on the year.
Casey Mize will start for Detroit, and he has looked sharp over his last couple of starts.
This is a great matchup for him, as the Guardians project to roll out a lineup of eight or nine left-handed hitters.
So far this season, Mize has been elite against lefties while having some struggles against righties.
This year, lefties have just a .097 ISO and .255 wOBA against Mize.
Pick: Tigers F5 -0.5 (+100)
