The Cincinnati Reds (19-11) host the Colorado Rockies (14-17) on April 30, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 12:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CINR.
The Reds are favored by -174 on the moneyline and by -1.5 (+116) on the run line. The Rockies are +146 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-140) on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs (-105 / -115).
Find my MLB picks and Rockies vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rockies vs Reds Predictions and Picks
- Rockies vs Reds Pick: Over 9
My Rockies vs Reds best bet is on the Over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Reds Odds, Run Line, and Over/Under
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -140 | 9 -105o / -115u | +146 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +116 | 9 -105o / -115u | -174 |
- Rockies vs Reds moneyline: Rockies +146, Reds -174
- Rockies vs Reds over/under: 9.5 (-105 / -115)
- Rockies vs Reds spread: Reds -1.5 (+126), Rockies +1.5 (-140)
Rockies vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| Michael Lorenzen (RHP, COL) | Stat | Andrew Abbott (LHP, CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | W-L | 0-2 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 5.97 / 5.58 | ERA / xERA | 6.59 / 5.55 |
| 4.56 / 4.24 | FIP / xFIP | 4.97 / 4.81 |
| 9.2% | K-BB% | 4.5% |
| 48.7% | GB% | 45.0% |
| .394 | BABIP | .351 |
| 88 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 103 | Location+ | 98 |
Rockies vs Reds MLB Picks
The Rockies cruised to a win in Game 1 of this quick two-game set against the Reds.
Cincinnati dropped to 19-11, while the Rockies improved to 14-17 in the impressive road win.
I expect a hefty amount of runs in Thursday’s showdown.
Michael Lorenzen and Andrew Abbott are both off to bumpy starts.
The Rockies need more from Lorenzen, a former Red who has a 5.97 ERA with a 5.58 xERA and 4.56 FIP in seven outings with his new club.
The only thing Lorenzen does well is limit walks, allowing just 1.77 BB/9. But the bad comes from virtually every other category. Opponents have an xBA of .322, while hitting the ball hard 50.4% of the time.
Lornezen could get crushed by a strong Reds lineup.
Opposing Lorenzen is left-handed hurler Andrew Abbott, who’s also off to a difficult start.
With Hunter Greene on the shelf, Abbott was supposed to be the ace for Cincy. Instead, he has a 6.59 ERA with a 5.59 xERA and a 4.97 FIP.
The bigger concern is Abbott’s K/9, which has fallen from 8.09 to 5.97, while his BB/9 jumped from 2.33 to 4.09. I don’t feel great about Abbott turning things around due to his troubling .300 xBA. If he’s not getting strikeouts anymore, he’s just a mediocre pitcher.
Rockies vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
Neither offense has been great so far. The Reds have posted a 90 wRC+, which ranks 25th among MLB lineups, while the Rockies have an 86 wRC+, ranking 26th.
That said, things have improved over the past two weeks, as the Rockies jumped to 18th in wRC+, while the Reds have jumped to 10th.
In the hitters' paradise that is Great American Ballpark and two pitchers susceptible to the long ball, I expect the over to hit.
Pick: Over 9
