The Texas Rangers host the Cleveland Guardians on August 23, 2025. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on RSN.
The Rangers beat the Guardians 4-3 in the first game of this series and will give the ball to Jack Leiter tonight against Cleveland's Logan Allen.
Find my MLB betting preview and Guardians vs Rangers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Guardians vs Rangers Prediction
- Guardians vs Rangers pick: Rangers ML -125
My Guardians vs Rangers best bet is on the Rangers moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Guardians vs Rangers Odds
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -195 | 8.5 -111o / -109u | +104 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +162 | 8.5 -111o / -109u | -126 |
Guardians vs Rangers Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Logan Allen (CLE) | Stat | RHP Jack Leiter (TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | W-L | 7-7 |
| 1.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 3.87 / 4.50 | ERA / xERA | 4.06 / 5.01 |
| 4.34 / 4.70 | FIP / xFIP | 4.62 / 4.96 |
| 1.40 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 8.8 | K-BB% | 9.3 |
| 43.6 | GB% | 36.2 |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 98 | Location+ | 88 |
Guardians vs Rangers Preview
The Rangers are swinging the bat much better, going from 26th overall in wRC+ to the 19th spot this month with a 95 rating.
They will face Logan Allen, who has been in decline in August. Although his ERA has not suffered, his WHIP this month is an alarming 1.70, and the lefty has not gone past the fifth inning in any of his three most recent outings.
On the contrary, Texas starter Jack Leiter is performing better, with a 3.48 ERA in his last seven starts. His splits are also a good sign for today, since the right-hander does better at home with a 3.45 ERA compared to his 4.81 ERA on the road.
He will be facing a Guardians offense that ranks next-to-last in wRC+ (77) and average (.218) this month.
Back the Rangers on the moneyline, as our Bet Labs system recommends.
This system tracks modest favorites in conference games where the market slightly shifts toward them, often due to subtle edge signals not captured by public models: Conference games bring familiarity and tighter matchups.
Minor moneyline movement (−33 to −1) from open to close shows quiet but meaningful sharp action. Pythagorean advantage (1.6% to 500%) confirms underlying team quality without large margins in the prior game.
Opening lines between −145 and −115 suggest limited public interest, creating pricing inefficiencies.
Totals between 7 and 9.5 help avoid extremes that can skew results. The strategy rides light market momentum in tight, competitive spots where fundamental metrics signal a long-term edge.
Pick: Rangers ML -125 (DraftKings)
Guardians vs Rangers Betting Trends
