The Miami Marlins (11-12) and Cincinnati Reds (11-13) are set to play their series finale on Wednesday, April 23. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FanDuel Sports Florida/Ohio.
With Sandy Alcantara on the hill, will the Marlins be able to complete the sweep of the Reds on Wednesday afternoon?
Find my Reds vs Marlins prediction below.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction and Pick
- Reds vs Marlins pick:Reds Moneyline (+110 | Play to +105)
My Reds vs Marlins best bet on Wednesday is Reds ML. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Marlins Odds, Run Line and Total
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 8.5 -10o / -120u | +100 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 8.5 -100o / -120u | -120 |
Reds vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
| RHP Brady Singer (CIN) | Stat | RHP Sandy Alcantara (MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0 |
| 3.80 / 3.38 | ERA /xERA | 7.27 / 4.72 |
| 3.27 / 3.68 | FIP / xFIP | 4.77 / 4.44 |
| 1.27 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 16.7% | K-BB% | 4% |
| 33.3% | GB% | 59.6% |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 98 | Location+ | 94 |
Tony Sartori's Reds vs Marlins Betting Insights
Reds Recent Bettign Performance, Stats
Right-hander Brady Singer takes the mound for the Cincinnati Reds and looks to continue his success. The former 18th overall draft pick had a strong year in 2024, posting a 3.71 ERA and 1.27 WHIP through 32 starts.
That success has continued into 2025, as Singer is 3-0 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.27 WHIP through four starts. His underlying metrics are even stronger, as he boasts a 3.38 expected ERA (xERA) and .234 expected batting average (xBA).
Singer could shine once again in this matchup, considering he pitched a gem in his lone career outing against the Miami Marlins last season. He allowed just one run on five hits over more than seven innings.
Following Singer is a strong bullpen. Entering this matchup, the Reds’ relief staff ranks 10th in ERA.
Marlins Recent Betting Performances, Stats
On the other hand, Miami’s bullpen ranks 22nd in ERA. Not only does Cincinnati hold the bullpen advantage, but it also has the edge in starting pitching.
Once upon a time, Sandy Alcantara was one of the best pitchers in baseball. However, he regressed mightily in 2023.
Through 28 starts that season, Alcantara posted a 7-12 record with a 4.14 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. He missed all of 2024 after undergoing Tommy John surgery and, predictably, has struggled upon returning this year.
Through four starts, Alcantara owns a 7.27 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally poor, as he ranks in the 40th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, strikeout rate, walk rate, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.
How To Make Best MLB Bets For My Reds vs Marlins Picks
Cincinnati boasts the pitching advantage in this matchup. Not only that, but the Reds have also been the superior hitting team this season.
Entering this matchup, Cincinnati outranks Miami in runs per game, slugging percentage, OPS, and home runs. Furthermore, through 29 combined plate appearances against Alcantara, the current Reds roster boasts a .310 batting average, .621 slugging percentage and .389 weighted on-base average (wOBA).
Pick: Reds ML (+110 | Play to +105)
Moneyline
As mentioned, I'm betting Reds moneyline at +110.
My Pick: Reds Moneyline (+110)
Run Line (Spread)
I like Cincinnati to cover as well, but find more value in just taking the outright number.
Over/Under
I lean toward the Over, but don't want to fade Singer against Miami.
