Tuesday MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: How Sharp Bettors Are Targeting Braves vs. Marlins (Oct. 4)

Tuesday MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: How Sharp Bettors Are Targeting Braves vs. Marlins (Oct. 4) article feature image
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Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Jesus Luzardo

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Braves Odds-172
Marlins Odds+144
Over/Under8
DateTuesday, Oct. 4
Time6:40 p.m. ET
ChannelMLB.tv

*Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday morning

The Action Network's proprietary tracking data has indicated a trove of sharp bettors on this pivotal contest between the Braves and Marlins on Tuesday night.

A Braves' win coupled by a single Mets loss across their doubleheader with the Nationals would clinch the NL East crown for Atlanta.

That also means a No. 2 seed and a bye from the Wild Card Series.

The sharp bettors are targeting the total and the moneyline for this contest.

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Sharp Pick

The sharps are riding with the over and the Braves' moneyline tonight.

The market-best price for the Braves' ML is -150 at SuperBook.

The best price for the over is with FanDuel at o8 (-102).

Make sure to price shop for this contest. While -150 is a fantastic price on the Braves, the market-worst price at -172 with FanDuel is awful in comparison.

Betting with FanDuel tonight would cut down on the value by 3.2%, a very, very substantial degree over the long run.

Tailing the wise guys and fading retail bettors is how you develop a profit in the long run.

In the short term, of course, variance is a massive constraint. You'll lose a few bets along the way.

The best method to ensure a positive ROI is to bet — with the same unit sizing — each time there's sharp action on a particular pick.

Pick: Braves -150 or better | Over 8 runs (-102) or better

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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