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Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds: Largest Prop Edge for Tuesday, June 9

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds: Largest Prop Edge for Tuesday, June 9 article feature image
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Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images. Pictured: Red Sox 2B Marcelo Mayer and CF Ceddanne Rafaela

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Boston Red Sox on June 9, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NESN.

The Red Sox are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rays are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.

Find our MLB picks and Red Sox vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Red Sox vs Rays Prediction

  • Red Sox vs Rays Pick: Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Doubles (+379)

Our Red Sox vs Rays best bet is Ceddanne Rafaela to hit a double in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Red Sox vs Rays Spread, Total Odds for Tuesday, June 9

Red Sox Logo
Tuesday, Jun 9
6:40 p.m. ET
NESN
Rays Logo
Red Sox Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+145
7.5
100o / -120u
-125
Rays Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-170
7.5
100o / -120u
+105
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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  • Red Sox vs Rays Moneyline: Red Sox -125, Rays +105
  • Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under: 7.5 (+100o / -120u)
  • Red Sox vs Rays Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+145), Rays +1.5 (-170)

Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers

LHP Payton Tolle (BOS)StatRHP Nick Martinez (TB)
3-2W-L5-2
1.6fWAR (FanGraphs)1.4
 2.28 / 2.32ERA / xERA2.29 / 4.52
2.66 / 3.67FIP / xFIP3.66 / 4.44
20.3K-BB%10.0
34.5GB%37.2
.252BABIP.285
114Stuff+99
95Location+104

Red Sox vs Rays MLB Betting Preview

Action PRO projects Red Sox center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela for 0.36 doubles today against the Rays, giving us a nice 9.4% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 0.5, which is good enough to mark the over with a B- grade in our system.

Rafaela is priced at DraftKings at +379, implying a 20-21% chance to hit a double in this game.

However, PRO projects him for 0.36 doubles, which means a fair price closer to +178.

He's already hit 12 doubles this season, with the best slugging percentage of his career so far (.429).

After hitting three doubles between May 28 and June 3, Rafaela hasn't hit one in the last four games.

At a great value, let's back him to get one against Tampa Bay.

Pick: Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Doubles (+379, DraftKings)


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Red Sox vs Rays Weather


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