The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Baltimore Orioles on June 20, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Dodgers are favored by -275 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +220 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction
- Orioles vs Dodgers Pick: Orioles ML (+220)
My Orioles vs Dodgers best bet is on Baltimore to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Dodgers Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +220 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -125 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -275 |
- Orioles vs Dodgers moneyline: Orioles +220, Dodgers -275
- Orioles vs Dodgers over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Orioles vs Dodgers spread: Orioles +1.5 (+105), Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
Orioles vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
| Trevor Rogers (LHP, BAL) | Stat | Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP, LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | W-L | 7-4 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 5.86 / 4.40 | ERA / xERA | 2.52 / 3.36 |
| 4.46 / 4.86 | FIP / xFIP | 3.38 / 3.22 |
| 9.0 | K-BB% | 20.1 |
| 36.6 | GB% | 47.7 |
| .310 | BABIP | .219 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 100 | Location+ | 107 |
Orioles vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview
The Dodgers are at home, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto is on the mound. I'm not as concerned about missing the play in the rare circumstance that it drops below +200, as I'd be happier the more the line increases.
Trevor Rogers has not followed up on his monster half-season with the Orioles last year. Although his 5.86 ERA is due for some regression with a .310 BABIP and 61.6 LOB%, his best non-pitch modeling estimator (4.37 xERA) is just shy of 1.5 runs less.
There is some optimism in a 3.87 Bot ERA, but the 98 Pitching+ is a bit conflicting.
No doubt Yamamoto (3.31 SIERA & ERA) is the far superior pitcher, even if he's due more than half a run of regression on his 2.52 ERA (.219 BABIP, 82 LOB%).
It's beyond the starting pitchers where things start to get interesting.
The Dodgers are clearly in their inferior split against LHP, even with a respectable 105 wRC+. The Orioles are three points higher against RHP.
Orioles vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis
The projected lineups tell a similar story, with the Dodgers only three points higher against LHP than the Orioles against RHP since last year. Both projected lineups have a 119 wRC+ over the last 30 days.
Offensively, smaller than expected edge to the Dodgers.
Defensively, the Dodgers beat the Orioles by 23 Runs Prevented and 29 OAA. However, with their inferior offensive split, the Dodgers may also be placing their inferior defense on the field (5 FRV) compared to Baltimore's better defensive lineup (7 FRV).
Lastly, the Dodgers do have the better bullpen, but it's only an eight-team and quarter-of-a-run gap via BARTOLO and the same quarter-of-a-run gap by the last 30-day estimators (FIP, xFIP, SIERA).
Both lineups even project 0 BRR (Base Running Runs).
Large starting pitching edge for the Dodgers, but closer than you might expect everywhere else. I'm waiting to see where the market goes, but I will probably be playing the Orioles at +200 or better at some point on Saturday, barring any significant lineup surprises.
Pick: Orioles ML (+220, BetMGM)
