Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Odds
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-230 | 9 -110 / -110 | -1.5 -114 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| +190 | 9 -110 / -110 | +1.5 -105 |
Atlanta Braves ace Spencer Strider took a perfect game into the seventh inning last night against the Miami Marlins at Truist Park.
The Marlins have been dominated by right-handed pitching so far this season, and they were no match for one of the best pitchers in all of baseball in Strider.
They won't have to face Strider again tonight, but another right-handed pitcher is on the docket. Atlanta seems poised to beat up on the Marlins at home once again, but how can we make that work for us in a same game parlay? Let's dive in.
The Parlay (+491):
- Charlie Morton Over 5.5 Strikeouts
- Braves ML
- Ronald Acuna Jr. 2+ Hits
Same Game Parlay — Braves vs Marlins
Charlie Morton Over 5.5 Strikeouts
The Marlins strike out a lot against right-handed pitching. In Miami's projected lineup tonight, six hitters have at least a 23% strikeout percentage against right-handers since the beginning of last season.
Charlie Morton isn't Strider, but he's still a solid strikeout pitcher. Morton has a 26% strikeout percentage against both left- and right-handed hitters since the beginning of last year.
With the way the Marlins are hitting at the plate right now, I expect Morton to cruise to the over on his strikeout total here.
Braves ML
Bryan Hoeing will take the mound for the Marlins in this one, and I expect the Braves' potent offense to take advantage of him. Since the beginning of last year, Hoeing has a 5.53 xFIP, 9% strikeout percentage and 8% walk percentage. He has also allowed a .444 ISO to right-handed hitters and a .222 ISO to left-handed hitters.
He hasn't shown that he can be effective at the Major League level right now, and I don't expect him to figure it out against the Braves on the road.
Ronald Acuña Jr. 2+ Hits
Acuña is one of the best players in all of baseball, and he's definitely the best lead-off hitter in the game. He should be able to take advantage of this matchup against Hoeing.
With his spot atop the Braves' lineup, he could get the extra at-bat he needs late in the game to record his second hit. You can change this to just one hit if you'd like, but you'll see the odds of the same game parlay decrease.
I'm willing to stick my neck out on Acuña recording multiple hits here, though. He tends to be aggressive early in counts, which should lead to success against Hoeing.
