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Braves vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick, Odds: Analytical Edge

Braves vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick, Odds: Analytical Edge article feature image
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Dale Zanine-Imagn Images. Pictured: Bryce Elder

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Atlanta Braves on May 10, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.

The Dodgers are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Braves are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Braves vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Braves vs Dodgers Prediction

  • Braves vs Dodgers Pick: Braves +1.5 (-147 | Play to -155)

My Braves vs Dodgers best bet is Braves +1.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Braves vs Dodgers Odds

Braves Logo
Sunday, May 10
4:10 p.m. ET
SportsNet LA
Dodgers Logo
Braves Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-192
8.5
-114o / -106u
+110
Dodgers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+158
8.5
-114o / -106u
-130
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Braves vs Dodgers moneyline: Braves +110, Dodgers -130
  • Braves vs Dodgers over/under: 8.5 (-114o / -106u)
  • Braves vs Dodgers spread: Braves +1.5 (-192), Dodgers -1.5 (+158)

Braves vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers

RHP Bryce Elder (ATL)StatLHP Justin Wrobleski (LAD)
3-1W-L5-0
1.1fWAR (FanGraphs)0.9
2.02 / 2.83ERA / xERA1.25 / 4.23
3.19 / 3.82FIP / xFIP3.21 / 5.15
14.9%K-BB%3.5%
43.8%GB%39.7%
.240BABIP.222
86Stuff+92
101Location+108

Braves vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview

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Atlanta Braves Betting Preview: Elder Statesman

After two poor seasons, right-hander Bryce Elder appears to have returned to the form he showed when he broke onto the scene in 2022 and 2023. Through his first eight starts of 2026, Elder is 3-1 with a 2.02 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP.

His underlying metrics are equally impressive. Entering this matchup, the right-hander ranks in the 82nd percentile or higher in xERA, xBA and barrel rate.

This success is likely to continue against the Dodgers, a team he fared well against in his most recent meeting. In that outing, Elder allowed just two runs on four hits across five innings en route to a 4-3 victory.

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Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Regression for Robo?

Meanwhile, left-hander Justin Wrobleski takes the mound for Los Angeles. Despite his strong results to begin 2026, his analytics suggest he is likely to regress toward the pitcher he has been over the past two seasons.

Wrobleski enters this matchup with a 4.24 xERA and a .270 xBA, both of which rank in the bottom half of the league. The southpaw also ranks in the second percentile in strikeout rate, 46th percentile in hard-hit rate and 37th percentile in groundball rate.

Of course, the Dodgers possess one of the best lineups in baseball. However, the Atlanta Braves have performed even better so far.


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Braves vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis

This season, Atlanta ranks ahead of Los Angeles in runs scored per game, hits per game, slugging percentage and home runs. Not only are the Braves’ hitting statistics stronger this season, but Elder’s analytics are also much better than Wrobleski’s.

That leaves the bullpen, which is another edge for Atlanta. Entering this matchup, its relief staff ranks ahead of the Dodgers’ in ERA, xERA and xFIP.

Pick: Braves +1.5 (-147 | Play to -155)


Braves vs Dodgers Weather


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