The Arizona Diamondbacks (57-61) and Texas Rangers (60-59) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on ARID.
Texas is a -160 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Arizona is +135 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 7.5 total runs.
Continue below for my Diamondbacks vs Rangers predictions and MLB picks for Monday, August 11, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Prediction, Picks
- Diamondbacks vs Rangers pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-120)
My Rangers vs. Diamondbacks best bet is on the under, with the best odds currently at Fanatics. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Odds for Monday, August 11
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 7.5 +100o / -120u | +140 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 7.5 +100o / -120u | -165 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Ryne Nelson (ARI) | Stat | RHP Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | W-L | 5-8 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 4.2 |
| 3.20/4.04 | ERA /xERA | 1.91 / 2.51 |
| 3.77/3.98 | FIP / xFIP | 2.40 / 3.09 |
| 1.05 | WHIP | 0.91 |
| 14.5% | K-BB% | 21.5% |
| 41.2% | GB% | 46.5% |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 100 | Location+ | 111 |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers MLB Preview
Arizona comes in hot after sweeping the Rockies in a three-game set (6-1, 6-5, 13-6), while Texas is looking to rebound from a sweep at the hands of the Phillies (9-1, 3-2, 4-2).
On the mound, Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona. He has allowed two runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 outings, going 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA during that span.
The Rangers counter with Nathan Eovaldi, whose 1.38 ERA through 19 starts is the lowest in franchise history at this stage of a season.
This game also triggers Evan Abrams’ “Public Fades Humidity = Unders” system.
It targets regular-season matchups where elevated humidity (45–95%), moderate temperatures, and neutral winds align.
While the public assumes humidity fuels offense, certain environments show the opposite effect.
In these situations, the home team’s recent games have stayed under at a high rate, with their five-game over percentage below 40%, pointing to a lack of offensive rhythm.
The market has nudged the total down from open to close, and the public is modestly backing the over (just 6–29% of bets).
With two in-form starters, a weather setup that historically suppresses runs, and a Rangers offense lacking recent punch, this spot profiles as a sneaky under play.
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Best Bet
- Under 7.5 (-120)
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Betting Trends
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