The Cincinnati Reds host the Arizona Diamondbacks on June 14, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ARID.
The Diamondbacks are favored by -112 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are -104 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Diamondbacks vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Reds Pick: Under 9.5 (-104)
My Diamondbacks vs Reds best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Reds Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 9.5 -118o / -104u | -112 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -170 | 9.5 -118o / -104u | -104 |
- Diamondbacks vs Reds moneyline: Diamondbacks -112, Reds -104
- Diamondbacks vs Reds over/under: 9.5 (-118o / -104u)
- Diamondbacks vs Reds spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140), Reds +1.5 (-170)
Diamondbacks vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| RHP Zac Gallen (ARI) | Stat | LHP Andrew Abbott (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L | 4-4 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 5.43/5.53 | ERA / xERA | 4.10/4.73 |
| 4.83/4.59 | FIP / xFIP | 4.75/4.92 |
| 8.0% | K-BB% | 6.2% |
| 46.7% | GB% | 39.8% |
| .328 | BABIP | .274 |
| 87 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 111 | Location+ | 102 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds MLB Betting Preview
An intriguing National League rubber match is set for Sunday afternoon at Great American Ball Park as the Cincinnati Reds play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
With the series currently gridlocked at one victory apiece, both clubs are desperate to capture a pivotal series win. Arizona took the opening game with a 5-2 performance, but Cincinnati bounced back on Saturday afternoon to secure a tight 2-1 victory, leaving both teams searching for a deciding edge.
Arizona has experienced some trouble on the road this season, carrying a 14-21 away record. Their success often hinges heavily on their offensive output, as they boast a 25-12 record when they manage to string together eight or more hits.
They will hand the ball to right-hander Zac Gallen, who has encountered a bumpy stretch this year, sitting at 3-5 with a 5.43 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. Despite his recent struggles, Gallen is on the brink of history, needing just two more strikeouts to tie Brandon Webb for the second-most strikeouts in franchise history.
On the other side, the Reds record a 17-17 performance on their home turf. Cincinnati’s offense has been hovering around the middle of the pack, ranking 10th in the National League with a collective .312 on-base percentage.
They look much more stable on the mound for Sunday's finale, sending lefty Andrew Abbott to the hill. Abbott has been in excellent form lately, compiling a 4-4 record with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP overall, while turning in a stellar 2.48 ERA with 29 strikeouts over his last seven starts.
Diamondbacks vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
The smartest angle for this Sunday afternoon showdown is to target the Under 9.5 runs, a position heavily supported by historical betting trends. Specifically, this matchup perfectly aligns with the "Under After Low Scoring Game in Series, Short Term" system developed by analyst Evan Abrams.
This specific system isolates regular-season games where both teams are entering the matchup immediately following low-scoring offensive performances in the exact same series.
Saturday's tight 2-1 battle firmly qualifies both squads for this trend. According to Abrams' methodology, these low-scoring environments serve as a strong indicator of either highly dominant pitching or cold, sluggish offenses.
The market frequently fails to adjust the game total downward quickly enough to account for these slumps, leaving an inflated line for bettors to exploit.
By filtering for recent seasons to capture modern pitcher usage and the current scoring climate, betting the under in these exact scenarios has yielded highly consistent, short-term profitability.
Expect Abbott to keep a quiet Diamondbacks lineup in check, while Gallen digs in to pursue his milestone, keeping this game well below the 9.5-run threshold.
Pick: Under 9.5 (-104)
