Nationals vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2024

Nationals at Reds

5:40 pm • BSOH

Washington Nationals

0-0

5 - 6

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Martinez			3.10	10-7
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-135	o9.5-108	+145
Reds 0-0	-1.5+114	u9.5-112	-175

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

March 31, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

E.De La Cruz o0.5 HR+475

0.1u

J.Fraley o0.5 RBI+180

0.75u

J.Fraley o1.5 RBI+500

0.5u

J.Fraley o2.5 RBI+1600

0.25u

Over 9.5-105

0.25u

Small to -105

WSH +140

$50.00

J.Irvin u5.5 Ks-128

0.5u

Upgrading to full u with lineup. Elly batting 6th should ensure just 2x vs. Irvin - should be (-125)

J.Irvin u5.5 Ks-120

0.5u

Featured Insight
Nationals Left Handed Hitters struck out just 16% against RHP last season -- tied for lowest in MLB. RedsRPs had a strikeout rate of just 22% vs left-handed batters last season -- seventh lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the RedsRPs last season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Nationals hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 36% last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: DiSturco's MLB Bets for Sunday
Charlie Disturco•
Mar 31, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are just 38-18 (.679) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Lane Thomas has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz struck out in 34% of PA's last season -- 13th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Jose Alvarado had a strikeout rate of 37% last season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez's curve and slider in the 2023 season -- highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

Nick Martinez located his fastball inside 50% of the time (311/621) in the 2023 season -- 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 35% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	WSH	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 10.5	WSH -188
Mar 28th	WSH	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -155
Mar 24th	CLE	L 7-10	-1.5 L	O 14.5	CLE -122
Mar 23rd	COL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 13.5	CIN -155
Mar 22nd	@ATH	L 6-8	-	-	-

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	80	5	4	3
LR.Garcia, P	14	1	1	0
RD.Floro, P	12	1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	17	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	20	0.2	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	1	1
2L.Thomas, RF	1-4	0	0	3
3J.Winker, LF	2-3	0	0	0
3V.Robles, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	0-5	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, CF	1-4	1	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	1-4	1	0	0
8L.Garcia, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
8N.Nunez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Lipscomb, 3B	2-3	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Martinez, P	90	5	3	3
RE.Pagan, P	9	1	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	31	1	1	1
RT.Antone, P	11	0	0	1
RF.Cruz, P	8	1	1	0
RL.Sims, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
2W.Benson, CF	3-5	1	1	3
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
4J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	3-4	0	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0	0
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	1	0	1
8N.Martini, DH	1-3	1	0	0
9T.Stephenson, C	1-3	0	0	0
9B.Thompson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-1	0	0	0