Guardians vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2024

Guardians at Royals

6:10 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

2 - 6

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9
L.Allen			5.73	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-185	o8.5-110	+110
Royals 3-3	-1.5+154	u8.5-110	-130

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

June 30, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

S.Lugo u18.5 Outs-155

0.65u

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

Featured Insight
Guardians have struck out just 19% since last season -- lowest in MLB. Royals have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an OPS of .728 with two strikes this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of .628 (169 PAs) with two strikes this season -- 15th worst among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP-- 11th Percentile.

Jose Ramirez is batting .278 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (22/126) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- seventh Percentile.

Seth Lugo has struck out 43% (10/23) of left-handed batters he faced -- best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% -- 100th Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of .953 (222 PA's) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .685 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 29th	CLE	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE -101
Jun 29th	CLE	W 10-3	+1.5 W	O 9.5	KC -110
Jun 28th	CLE	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 9	KC -107
Jun 26th	MIA	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -205
Jun 26th	MIA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9.5	MIA -192

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	72	4.1	3	3
RE.Morgan, P	15	0.2	1	1
LT.Herrin, P	13	0.2	0	0
RP.Avila, P	28	1.1	1	2
RE.Clase, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0
2D.Schneemann, CF	1-3	1	0
2D.Schneemann, SS	1-3	1	0
2D.Schneemann, 3B	1-3	1	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-4	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	0	1
5J.Noel, RF	0-4	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0
7B.Naylor, C	3-4	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-2	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0
8T.Freeman, CF	0-1	0	0
9J.Tena, 3B	0-2	0	0
9G.Arias, PH	0-1	0	0
9G.Arias, SS	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	93	6	10	0
LW.Smith, P	13	1	0	0
LS.Long, P	26	1	3	2
RJ.McArthur, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	3-4	2	0	1
3V.Pasquantino, DH	3-4	1	0	1
4S.Perez, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
5H.Renfroe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Loftin, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	1-3	1	0	0
8G.Hampson, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9D.Blanco, LF	1-4	1	0	0