Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2024

Cardinals at Yankees

11:05 pm • MLB Network

St. Louis Cardinals

61-63

3 - 6

New York Yankees

66-57

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Stroman			4.31	10-9
E.Fedde			3.11	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 61-63	+1.5-130	o8.5-112	+160
Yankees 66-57	-1.5+109	u8.5-108	-191

Friday 11:05 p.m.

August 30, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

Over 8-134

0.93u

M.Stroman u17.5 Outs-135

1.35u

M.Stroman u3.5 Ks+120

This is powered by BetAlytics MLB pitcher prop dashboard 🔑 Marcus Stroman u3.5Ks +120 (bet365) 2u A+ grade, 17.55% edge on the market, and an expected win probability of 63%. 60% hit rate his L5 starts. Best value for this that I found is on bet365, most books have this line at 4.5. Always line shop! BOL if you tail or fade 🤝 Join 👉🔗 BetAlytics.com Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off

J.Soto o0.5 HR+425

0.25u

J.Chisholm o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+110

P.Goldschmidt o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+105

1.05u

J.Chisholm o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+110

M.Stroman u16.5 Outs-110

1.1u

Since June, Stroman is under this line in 10/13 starts, with a 5.29 ERA (5.09 xFIP), .366 wOBA, 9.8% walk rate, and a .844 OPS allowed. Overall at home this season, he’s under in 8/13. Cards bats have heated up a bit over the last two weeks, with a 109 wRC+ and .746 OPS vs righties. They should have 6 guys in the lineup with above avg pitches per PA. Yanks coming off an off day, so pen should be reset.

J.Soto o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

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Featured Insight
Yankees have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored three or more runs in an inning just 128 times (5%) since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Yankees are 21-19 (.525) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Aaron Judge has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 34% since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Aaron Judge has an OPS of .846 with two strikes this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Erick Fedde has allowed an OPS of .575 (315 PAs) with two strikes this season -- 10th worst among qualified SPs-- 14th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 56% (266/476) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 54% of the time (1,094/2,035) since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 20-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Yankees' 62 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	53-69	33-29	20-40	44-59	8-10
Cardinals	63-60	33-30	30-30	22-34	40-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	55-63-4	26-35-1	29-28-3	46-55-2	8-8-2
Cardinals	60-57-6	31-29-3	29-28-3	27-24-5	32-33-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	65-57	37-25	28-32	57-46	7-11
Cardinals	61-62	35-28	26-34	28-28	32-34

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 28th	@WSH	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9	WSH -225
Aug 27th	@WSH	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 9	WSH -262
Aug 26th	@WSH	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 9	NYY -190
Aug 25th	COL	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYY -265
Aug 24th	COL	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	COL -339

Nolan Arenado
IF
Arenado is out with shoulder
Out
Brendan Donovan
IF
Brendan Donovan has been scratched Friday.
Out

Gerrit Cole
P
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Austin Slater
OF
Slater is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Fedde, P	96	5.1	8	4
LJ.King, P	32	1.2	2	0
RR.O'Brien, P	23	1	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Burleson, DH	2-4	1	0	0
3N.Arenado, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
4B.Donovan, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
5P.Goldschmidt, 1B	3-4	0	0	1
6L.Nootbaar, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Walker, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8P.Pages, C	0-3	0	0	0
9V.Scott, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	98	7	5	2
RJ.Cousins, P	15	0.2	1	1
RT.Kahnle, P	3	0.1	0	0
RC.Holmes, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	1-3	2	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	2-4	1	0	1
3A.Judge, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Wells, C	2-4	2	2	4
5G.Stanton, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Chisholm, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	0-1	0	0	1
8B.Rice, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Verdugo, LF	0-3	0	0	0